Alabama Megathread: Bombshell allegations

[GeorgiaModerate]

Decertifying Moore and running a Strange write in campaign seems like the path forward for the GOP.

I have to imagine this could be their move.

It's their only way forward, but it's also their worst way forward. Vote-splitting will kill their chances once and for all.

Is a majority required?  Would there be a runoff if nobody got more than 50%?

[Mr. Smith]

We've got a Diaper Dave on the loose!

Question is, will Jones pull a (near) JBE on this? Or will he end up like the Conservadem in 2010 that tried the exact same strategy but was ultimately just a casualty of the Tea Party Wave?

Things just keep getting worse for the GOP.  This perv needs to drop out of the race.

This was said of Trump last year.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, I'm skeptical that anything will change. After Access Hollywood, everyone and their brother in republican politics wanted to make Pence the Presidential nominee, but Trump said he was staying in, pointed to some random Clinton accusers to distract, half-apologized, and threatened to Prosecute Hillary in front of 70,000,000 TV viewers at the 2nd debate. Two weeks later, all was forgotten and forgiven. There are more than two weeks left in this thing, and Alabunga is way more conservative than the country.

[Dereich]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Look at who on the forum is calling for a Strange write-in a campaign and make an inference.

[swf541]

Well, I'm skeptical that anything will change. After Access Hollywood, everyone and their brother in republican politics wanted to make Pence the Presidential nominee, but Trump said he was staying in, pointed to some random Clinton accusers to distract, half-apologized, and threatened to Prosecute Hillary in front of 70,000,000 TV viewers at the 2nd debate. Two weeks later, all was forgotten and forgiven. There are more than two weeks left in this thing, and Alabunga is way more conservative than the country.

The tape is nothing compared to this.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

If Strange runs a write-in campaign, Jones wins the seat. There are enough delporables who are horrible enough to ignore the news and vote for Moore.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Well, I'm skeptical that anything will change. After Access Hollywood, everyone and their brother in republican politics wanted to make Pence the Presidential nominee, but Trump said he was staying in, pointed to some random Clinton accusers to distract, half-apologized, and threatened to Prosecute Hillary in front of 70,000,000 TV viewers at the 2nd debate. Two weeks later, all was forgotten and forgiven. There are more than two weeks left in this thing, and Alabunga is way more conservative than the country.

I'm not sure the situations are equivalent.  With Trump, the alternative was Hillary Clinton, who was anathema to Trump voters.  Jones is probably a lot more acceptable, or at least not unthinkable, to most AL Republicans.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Look at who on the forum is calling for a Strange write-in a campaign and make an inference.

I would assume that the split in the right-wing vote would allow Jones to win, but this is still Alabama after all.

[Crumpets]

I imagine this will hurt Moore somewhat, but not bearly as much as if he were found to have had consentual sex with a man the same age as him.

What was Doug Jones doing in 1979? What a great contrast that'd make for a campaign ad!

Alabamified:

"In 1979, Doug Jones was prosecuting violent felons to keep Alabamans safe. In 1979, Roy Moore was soliciting sex from a 14 year-old white girl."

It would actually be pretty amazing (in a Trump election/horrifying sort of way) if the Democrats tried to dogwhistle and imply that Roy Moore is black and preys on young white girls. I mean, how many people actually know what their candidates look like in a Senate race?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I love how it's always the "Shoot the gays" Family Values candidate who ends up being a disgusting perv. The wisest decision the RNC could do right now, especially since it is run by a woman, is to disavow Moore and to call him to step aside. It would look incredibly bad for them if they continued to back him.

[Yank2133]

Well, I'm skeptical that anything will change. After Access Hollywood, everyone and their brother in republican politics wanted to make Pence the Presidential nominee, but Trump said he was staying in, pointed to some random Clinton accusers to distract, half-apologized, and threatened to Prosecute Hillary in front of 70,000,000 TV viewers at the 2nd debate. Two weeks later, all was forgotten and forgiven. There are more than two weeks left in this thing, and Alabunga is way more conservative than the country.

I'm not sure the situations are equivalent.  With Trump, the alternative was Hillary Clinton, who was anathema to Trump voters.  Jones is probably a lot more acceptable, or at least not unthinkable, to most AL Republicans.

Comey's letter also played a major factor, hopefully nothing like that happens to Doug Jones.

[swf541]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Look at who on the forum is calling for a Strange write-in a campaign and make an inference.

I would assume that the split in the right-wing vote would allow Jones to win, but this is still Alabama after all.

If the race is 50-40 right now for Moore that could flip it easily if Jones keeps his support

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Does Alabama have run-offs for federal races?  Roby got less than 50% in 2016 and there wasn't a run-off.

[IceSpear]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Nope, it would make a Moore win even more likely (if that's possible) by splitting the sane vote.

[Santander]

I love how it's always the "Shoot the gays" Family Values candidate who ends up being a disgusting perv. The wisest decision the RNC could do right now, especially since it is run by a woman, is to disavow Moore and to call him to step aside. It would look incredibly bad for them if they continued to back him.

lol please, she's not a real woman.

[Cactus Jack]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Nope, it would make a Moore win even more likely (if that's possible) by splitting the sane vote.

Come on, IS. You're treading perilously close to Obnoxious Twat territory.

[swf541]

Does Alabama have run-offs for federal races?  Roby got less than 50% in 2016 and there wasn't a run-off.

No

[IceSpear]

Well, I'm skeptical that anything will change. After Access Hollywood, everyone and their brother in republican politics wanted to make Pence the Presidential nominee, but Trump said he was staying in, pointed to some random Clinton accusers to distract, half-apologized, and threatened to Prosecute Hillary in front of 70,000,000 TV viewers at the 2nd debate. Two weeks later, all was forgotten and forgiven. There are more than two weeks left in this thing, and Alabunga is way more conservative than the country.

I'm not sure the situations are equivalent.  With Trump, the alternative was Hillary Clinton, who was anathema to Trump voters.  Jones is probably a lot more acceptable, or at least not unthinkable, to most AL Republicans.

Comey's letter also played a major factor, hopefully nothing like that happens to Doug Jones.

I'm sure Moore's team is vigorously checking if Jones ever sent emails or ran a foundation right now.

[swf541]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Look at who on the forum is calling for a Strange write-in a campaign and make an inference.

I would assume that the split in the right-wing vote would allow Jones to win, but this is still Alabama after all.

If the race is 50-40 right now for Moore that could flip it easily if Jones keeps his support

No it can't. That last 10% will be impossible

If 15% goes for the write in its very possible, no run offs. 

[The Other Castro]

TOSSUP

[IceSpear]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Nope, it would make a Moore win even more likely (if that's possible) by splitting the sane vote.

Come on, IS. You're treading perilously close to Obnoxious Twat territory.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Look at who on the forum is calling for a Strange write-in a campaign and make an inference.

I would assume that the split in the right-wing vote would allow Jones to win, but this is still Alabama after all.

If the race is 50-40 right now for Moore that could flip it easily if Jones keeps his support

No it can't. That last 10% will be impossible

He's saying that Jones can win with his 40% if Strange runs a write-in campaign. Which is obviously true.

[Cactus Jack]

If the state GOP does decertify Moore and runs a write-in Strange campaign, does Strange win?

Nope, it would make a Moore win even more likely (if that's possible) by splitting the sane vote.

Come on, IS. You're treading perilously close to Obnoxious Twat territory.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

And now you're firmly in that territory. Goodbye, IS.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Awful thought:

Moore steps down.
Sessions resigns as AG to run a write-in campaign for his old seat and wins.
Trump appoints a new AG who's not recused from the Russia probe.

[swf541]

Awful thought:

Moore steps down.
Sessions resigns as AG to run a write-in campaign for his old seat and wins.
Trump appoints a new AG who's not recused from the Russia probe.

Same result as with strange probably, maybe worse for gop

also whats the dem base level in Alabama?