2016=1928? (user search)
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  2016=1928? (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016=1928?  (Read 3523 times)
GlobeSoc
The walrus
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,980


« on: April 16, 2017, 04:52:09 PM »

Why does every long-term Atlas prediction involve a early-to-mid-21st Century Democratic realignment?  Before Trump won, the consensus was that it started in 2008, and now they have just shifted the goalposts to 2020/2024.  Partisan realignments are becoming more and more rare, and there is no evidence that we are about to embark in a long-term Democratic era.  In fact, the author of "The Emerging Democratic Majority" (from the early 2000s) has now recanted and said that we are entering a Republican era.
Reagan - FDR
HW Bush - Truman
Clinton - Eisenhower
W Bush - Kennedy/LBJ
Obama - Nixon/Ford
Trump - Carter
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