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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 211612 times)
erſatz-york
SlippingJimmy
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« Reply #1650 on: July 23, 2018, 04:53:38 PM »
« edited: July 23, 2018, 05:01:32 PM by unemployment is low because everyone has two jobs »
Presidential elections if they were held in the preceding midterm

1890/1892- Cleveland and the Populists win more states due to dissatisfaction with the McKinley Tariff.
Grover Cleveland/Adlai Stevenson I (Democratic) - 301 EV
Benjamin Harrison/Whitelaw Reid (Republican) - 109 EV
James B. Weaver/James G. Field (Populist) - 34 EV



1894/1896 - The GOP is able to win a landslide victory at the nadir of the 1893 panic. WJB is too young to run for the White House, and the Democrats nominate a tired old silver-bug whose political talents don't quite match up to those of the Boy Orator.
William McKinley/Garret Hobart (Republican) - 350 EV
Richard Bland/George Williams (Democratic) - 97 EV


1898/1900 - It's November of 1898, and America has just won a sweeping victory in the Spanish-American War. Sectional, racial/ethnic, and class divides have dissolved, and America's economy is making a comeback. It's morning in America again, and McKinley is able to sweep all but the most staunchly Democratic states.
William McKinley/Garret Hobart (Republican) - 429 EV
William Jennings Bryan/Adlai Stevenson I (Democratic) - 18 EV
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erſatz-york
SlippingJimmy
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« Reply #1651 on: July 23, 2018, 06:04:58 PM »
« Edited: July 30, 2018, 10:03:26 PM by unemployment is low because everyone has two jobs »
Presidential elections if they were held in the preceding midterm, part II:

1994/1996 - Dole wins thanks to Americans' dissatisfaction with a lagging economy, tax increases, and the White House's blunders on healthcare policy.
Bob Dole/Jack Kemp (Republican) - 286 EV
Bill Clinton/Al Gore (Democratic) - 252 EV


1998/2000 - Gore is able to win by a large margin due to prosperous economy, steady state of world affairs, and the backblast from Republicans' inane focus on Clinton's personal and ethical foibles.
Al Gore/Joe Lieberman (Democratic) - 354 EV
George Bush/Dick Cheney (Republican) - 184 EV


2002/2004 - Bush's popularity following his response to the 9/11 attacks is only blunted by the mild 2002 recession.
George W. Bush/Dick Cheney (Republican) - 355 EV
John Kerry/John Edwards (Democratic) - 183 EV


2006/2008 - Political neophyte Obama wins a narrow victory in an election where the main focus is on the War on Terror. The Bush administration's response to Hurricane Katrina and ethics scandals in the GOP also play a role in voters' decisions.
Barack Obama/Joe Biden (Democratic) - 278 EV
John McCain/Sarah Palin (Republican) - 260 EV


2010/2012 - Romney wins a decisive victory due to Americans' dissatisfaction with a moribund economy, continuing involvement in Iraq, and the Obama administration's disastrous attempt to reform healthcare.
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan (Republican) - 331 EV
Barack Obama/Joe Biden (Democratic) - 207 EV


2014/2016 - Clinton wins narrowly thanks to robust economic growth in the latter half of 2014.
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic) - 278 EV
Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 260 EV
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1652 on: July 25, 2018, 08:31:48 AM »


John Kasich / Marco Rubio (R) 268
Donald Trump / Joe Donnelly (D) 250
Bernie Sanders / Gloria LaRiva (I) 20
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
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« Reply #1653 on: July 25, 2018, 02:34:51 PM »
United States Senate Elections, 2008



This is another shameless plug for this thread, and the work I put into it. Here, Democrats pick up 10 seats, giving them 63 total; one shy of 2/3s and capable of breaking a filibuster with plenty of room to spare. Notably, while the caucus is bigger than OTL, it lacks several conservative Dems: Lieberman, Pryor, Tester, Baucus, and Tim Johnson are all absent. So Obama’s first 2 years are going to be much more active than OTL. The only catch is that the 63 number includes both Franken and Specter.
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1654 on: July 26, 2018, 06:18:07 PM »
« Edited: July 26, 2018, 09:20:22 PM by Razze »
Alternate Class II Senate elections

2002 - Pres. Al Gore's midterm election

Democrats (Leader Tom Daschle–SD) • 53 seats (+4)
Republicans (Leader Trent Lott–MS) • 46 seats (–3)
Independents (Jim Jeffords–VT) • 1 seat (±0)
MN Independence (Dean Barkley–MN) • 0 seat (–1)

Changes from real life:
Georgia: Sen. Max Cleland re-elected (hold)
Minnesota: Fmr. Sen. Walter Mondale elected (gain)
Missouri: Sen. Jean Carnahan re-elected (hold)
North Carolina: NC SoS Elaine Marshall elected (gain)
New Hampshire: Gov. Jeanne Shaheen elected (gain)
2008 - Election coinciding with Sen. Barack Obama defeating Pres. John McCain

Democrats (Leader Tom Daschle–SD) • 63 seats (+6)
Republicans (Leader Mitch McConnell–KY, defeated) • 36 seats (–6)
Independents (Bernie Sanders–VT) • 1 seat (±0)
Changes from real life:
Georgia: GA SoS Cathy Cox elected (hold)
Kentucky: Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo elected (gain)
Minnesota: Al Franken elected (hold)
North Carolina: Sen. Elaine Marshall re-elected (hold)
New Hampshire: Sen. Jeanne Shaheen re-elected (hold)
2014 - Pres. Mitt Romney's first midterm election

Democrats (Leader Chuck Schumer–NY) • 50 seats (–4)
Republicans (Leader John Cornyn–TX) • 47 seats (+3)
Independents (Angus King–ME, Greg Orman–KS, Bernie Sanders–VT) • 3 seats (+1)
Changes from real life:
Alaska: Sen. Mark Begich re-elected (hold)
Colorado: Sen. Mark Udall re-elected (hold)
Georgia: Sen. Cathy Cox re-elected (hold)
Kansas: Greg Orman elected (gain)
Kentucky: Matt Bevin elected (gain)
Louisiana: Sen. Mary Landrieu re-elected (hold)
Montana: Sen. John Walsh re-elected (hold)
North Carolina: Sen. Elaine Marshall re-elected (hold)
New Hampshire: Sen. Jeanne Shaheen re-elected (hold)
West Virginia: WV SoS Natalie Tennant elected (hold)
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1655 on: July 30, 2018, 08:42:57 PM »


How 1992 should have been
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Galaxie
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« Reply #1656 on: July 31, 2018, 01:21:38 AM »
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1657 on: July 31, 2018, 12:29:53 PM »

What's the story behind this map? Jimmy Carter/Bernie Sanders '80?
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Galaxie
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« Reply #1658 on: July 31, 2018, 01:03:43 PM »
Quote from: Razze on July 31, 2018, 12:29:53 PM

What's the story behind this map? Jimmy Carter/Bernie Sanders '80?

2050s realignment map, good Republican win

Does look surprisingly similar to a 1980s/1976 map tho
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1659 on: July 31, 2018, 02:03:19 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2018, 02:14:55 PM by Cory Booker »


2020 map
Kamala Harris/Tim Ryan 306
Trump/Pence 232

States flip flopping between elections: NV, OH, NC



2020 senate elections:
Greg Orman, Doug Jones, Cary Kennedy, and dem defeats Tillis in NC

Tillis losing and Cooper winning in NC
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #1660 on: August 01, 2018, 12:06:06 AM »
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1661 on: August 01, 2018, 09:54:26 AM »

This looks very cool, what's the situation here?
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1662 on: August 01, 2018, 10:43:47 AM »

1976 without playboy?
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1663 on: August 01, 2018, 05:27:16 PM »

But the playboy incident rocked
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« Reply #1664 on: August 02, 2018, 05:43:05 PM »
1972 with uniform 7% D swing (Nixon -3.5; McGovern +3.5)

McGovern/Shriver 41.0% / 31 EV
Nixon/Agnew 57.2% / 507 EV


1984 with a uniform 7% D swing (Reagan -3.5; Mondale +3.5)


Mondale/Ferraro 44.1% / 40 EV
Reagan/Bush 55.3% / 498 EV

Note the similarity, as well as the fact that the GOP still romps in the EC despite the Dems (especially Mondale) receiving a decent percentage of the PV.
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Dr. MB
MB
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« Reply #1665 on: August 02, 2018, 06:26:21 PM »
1972 with 20% D swing



Closest state is PA, which is decided by a margin of 0.02%. Delaware and Montana are also decided by margins under 1%.
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« Reply #1666 on: August 03, 2018, 08:08:47 AM »
Quote from: MB on August 02, 2018, 06:26:21 PM
1972 with 20% D swing



Closest state is PA, which is decided by a margin of 0.02%. Delaware and Montana are also decided by margins under 1%.
McGovern, the prairie populist. It's hard to imagine today a Dem winning South Dakota and Iowa while losing Hawaii, Maryland (Shriver's home state!), New Jersey and Vermont.
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UnselfconsciousTeff
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« Reply #1667 on: August 05, 2018, 08:59:34 PM »
My high school once hold a mock election as part of social studies and this is the results



President Barack Obama/Vice President Joseph Biden 462 EV's
Former SOS Hillary Clinton/Senator Tim Kaine 55 EV's
Buisnessman Donald Trump/Governor Micheal Pence 21 EV's

Most people hated both so they writed in Obama instead
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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Ukraine


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« Reply #1668 on: August 05, 2018, 09:18:10 PM »
Happy Trees in the White House

2000

Albert Gore (D-TN) / Joe Lieberman (D-CT) 292 EVs
George Bush (R-TX) / Dick Cheney (R-WY) 246 EVs

2004

Rudy Giuliani (R-NY) / Gary Bauer (R-KY) 356 EVs
Albert Gore (D-TN) / Joe Lieberman (D-CT) 182 EVs

2008

Bob Ross (D-FL) / Phil Bredesen (D-TN) 488 EVs
Rudy Giuliani (R-NY) / Gary Bauer (R-KY) 50 EVs

2012

Bob Ross (D-FL) / Phil Bredesen (D-TN) 396 EVs
Mitt Romney (R-UT) / John McCain (R-AZ) 142 EVs

2016

Phil Bredesen (D-TN) / Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) 307 EVs
Donald Trump (R-NY) / Mike Pence (R-IN) 231 EVs
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #1669 on: August 06, 2018, 12:06:03 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2018, 12:09:44 PM by cookiedamage »
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1670 on: August 06, 2018, 12:38:04 PM »
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1671 on: August 06, 2018, 06:35:34 PM »

What's her story?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1672 on: August 06, 2018, 07:00:11 PM »
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #1673 on: August 06, 2018, 07:57:06 PM »

I made it from which states were won by each party in 3 rl different elections.
(30% shade 2 out of 3, 40% shade 2 out of 2, 60% shade all 3)
Can you tell which elections?  
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1674 on: August 06, 2018, 08:33:21 PM »
My instinct says 1940, 1976, and 2016.

But that is imperfect.
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