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Transgender for Everybody
Peebs
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« Reply #1350 on: March 30, 2018, 06:24:14 PM »

I read that as "Battle of the Hookers".
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bagelman
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« Reply #1351 on: March 31, 2018, 01:40:11 AM »

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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #1352 on: March 31, 2018, 09:35:49 AM »

Back on topic, here's this thing


This is the electoral college of the United States after a census a few centuries from now. As you can see, a few things have changed.
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America Needs R'hllor
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« Reply #1353 on: March 31, 2018, 09:49:27 AM »

Back on topic, here's this thing


This is the electoral college of the United States after a census a few centuries from now. As you can see, a few things have changed.

Interesting. Dat Alaska. Any party leanings?
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Transgender for Everybody
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« Reply #1354 on: March 31, 2018, 09:50:57 AM »

I see my past as a coastal elitist has caught up with me. Tongue
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emcee0
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« Reply #1355 on: March 31, 2018, 07:02:28 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2018, 07:06:09 PM by emcee0 »

The John Glenn Revolution
1980

Senator John Glenn D-Ohio/ Governor Bob Graham D- Florida 498 Electoral Votes 56% Popular Vote
President Gerald R. Ford R- Michigan/ Vice President Bob Dole R- Kansas 40 Electoral Votes 40 % Popular Vote
1984

President John Glenn D-Ohio/ Vice President Bob Graham D-Florida 529 Electoral Votes 60% Popular Vote
Former Vice President Bob Dole R- Kansas/ Senator Jesse Helms R- North Carolina 9 Electoral Votes 37% Popular Vote
1988

Vice President Bob Graham D-Florida/ Senator Tom Harkin D-Iowa 425 Electoral Votes 55% Popular Vote
Senator Dan Quayle R-Indiana/ Columnist Pat Buchanan R-Virginia 113 Electoral Votes
1992

President Bob Graham D- Florida/ Vice President Tom Harkin D- Iowa 345 Electoral Votes 53% Popular Vote
Governor Lamar Alexander R- Tennesee/ Congressman Dick Cheney R- Wyoming 193 Electoral Votes 47% Popular Vote
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emcee0
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« Reply #1356 on: March 31, 2018, 07:37:10 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2018, 08:22:33 PM by emcee0 »

McCain 1996
1996

Senator John McCain R- Arizona/ Senator Richard Lugar R- Indiana 297 Electoral Votes 51% Popular Vote
Senator Al Gore D- Tennesee/ Senator John Edwards D- Connecticut 241 Electoral Votes 47% Popular Vote
McCainslide 2000

President John McCain R- Arizona/ Vice President Richard Lugar R-Indiana 400 Electoral Votes 54% Popular Vote
Governor Howard Dean D- Vermont/ Congressman Dennis Kucinich D- Ohio 138 Electoral Votes 44% Popular Vote
Kerry '04

Senator John Kerry D- Massachusetts/Russ Feingold D- Wisconsin 320 Electoral Votes 51% Popular Vote
Governor George W. Bush R-Texas/ Sam Brownback R-Kansas 318 Electoral Votes 48% Popular Vote
Perry Wins in '08

Governor Rick Perry R- Texas/ Governor Mike Huckabee R- Arkansas 317 Electoral Votes 50% Popular Vote
President John Kerry D- Massachusetts/ Vice Presdient Russ Feingold D- Wisconsin 47% Popular Vote

History Made in '08

Senator Barack Obama D- Illinois/ Senator Joe Biden D- Delaware 402 Electoral Votes 54% Popular Vote
President Rick Perry R- Texas/ Vice President Mike Huckabee R- Arkansas 136 Electoral Votes 45% Popular Vote
Forward! in 2016


President Barack Obama D- Illinois/ Vice President Joe Biden D- Delaware 54% Popular Vote
Senator Ted Cruz R- Texas/ Senator Mike Lee R- Utah 179 Electoral Votes 43% Popular Vote
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1357 on: March 31, 2018, 08:11:55 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2018, 09:58:59 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
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bagelman
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« Reply #1358 on: April 01, 2018, 11:23:21 AM »



Candidates win the state where the party convention is held. Clinton wins.



Obama still wins, and FL is seen as tilt R later.



The resulting domino effect from a forced GOP flip in MN knocks down the midwest and is just powerful enough for FL and the election to go to McCain



2004 is a huge GOP landslide bigger than '80 or '88. Only a handful of liberal doves back the Democrats.



A forced flip of PA is enough to crack the upper midwest. Shockwaves from California do flip NV as Hispanics are stronger for Dems, but FL, while very close, "remains" GOP.



A forced flip of CA give the GOP a win as they break the hearts of Democrats when election results return from west of the MS.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #1359 on: April 01, 2018, 04:12:32 PM »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1360 on: April 01, 2018, 05:00:41 PM »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #1361 on: April 01, 2018, 05:27:37 PM »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.

You are doubling the swing there then. If the country shifted 8 points D, then you would add 4 points to the Democrats and subtract 4 from the Republicans for a uniform swing.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #1362 on: April 01, 2018, 05:48:49 PM »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.

So the result is that Obama wins every state that Kerry lost by 16% or less, right? Also Bush won the PV by 2.5% in 2004.
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bagelman
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« Reply #1363 on: April 01, 2018, 10:21:28 PM »

Continued from my previous post

1984:



Democrats still lose but at least their dignity survives.

1980:



Same story here

1976:



Same story here

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CookieDamage
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« Reply #1364 on: April 02, 2018, 12:42:22 AM »


Harris vs. Sanders Primary
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TexArkana
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« Reply #1365 on: April 02, 2018, 10:20:45 AM »

Seems about right. I don't see why Harris wins Rhode Island though.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #1366 on: April 02, 2018, 11:06:09 AM »

2016 if we lived in a functioning Democracy:

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America Needs R'hllor
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« Reply #1367 on: April 02, 2018, 11:57:39 AM »

2016 if we lived in a functioning Democracy:



I believe you misspelled "despotic dictatorship"
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Transgender for Everybody
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« Reply #1368 on: April 02, 2018, 12:36:45 PM »

2016 if we lived in a functioning Democracy:



I believe you misspelled "despotic dictatorship"
He explained in the bad post gallery that it's actually meant to signify that all states are bound to the NPV (which is D>40%).
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1369 on: April 02, 2018, 01:31:17 PM »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.

So the result is that Obama wins every state that Kerry lost by 16% or less, right? Also Bush won the PV by 2.5% in 2004.

Misread it as 1.4% which I rounded down to 1.

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.

You are doubling the swing there then. If the country shifted 8 points D, then you would add 4 points to the Democrats and subtract 4 from the Republicans for a uniform swing.

...Math was never my strong suit. If that's true, then I guess the appropriate name is "double swing" since that's pretty much the entire shtick.

Good thing this is the "random maps" thread and not something with higher stakes.
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« Reply #1370 on: April 02, 2018, 05:47:51 PM »

2016 if we lived in a functioning Democracy:



Neither Hillary or Trump won the popular vote

You have to get over 50% of the Popular Vote to Win it
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1371 on: April 02, 2018, 06:51:23 PM »

2016 if we lived in a functioning Democracy:



Neither Hillary or Drumpf won the popular vote

You have to get over 50% of the Popular Vote to Win it

Clinton still got the most votes though. I don't think he's suggesting that a majority wins as opposed to simply getting more votes.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #1372 on: April 02, 2018, 07:08:25 PM »

2016 if we lived in a functioning Democracy:



Neither Hillary or Trump won the popular vote

You have to get over 50% of the Popular Vote to Win it

Clinton would have received all Jill Stein votes, and about half of Gary Johnson votes with IRV. That is enough for a majority.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #1373 on: April 02, 2018, 07:13:16 PM »

2016 if we lived in a functioning Democracy:



Neither Hillary or Trump won the popular vote

You have to get over 50% of the Popular Vote to Win it

Clinton would have received all Jill Stein votes, and about half of Gary Johnson votes with IRV. That is enough for a majority.
Nah. 90% of Stein voters, probably higher, despised Hillary Clinton. I'd expect a higher percent of them to go for Trump (or Johnson, or a socialist candidate if running) than you would think.
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King Lear
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« Reply #1374 on: April 02, 2018, 07:57:14 PM »
« Edited: April 04, 2018, 03:11:33 AM by King Lear »


Guess what this is a map off?
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