2017 Special Election Thread: CT House 68

[Ronnie]

With 100% of precincts reporting:

Hansen (D) 7,314, 58.13%
Marino (R) 4,936, 40.75%

Voter turnout: 35.21%

[KingSweden]

On a side note, Hansen could be a good candidate to replace Carper in 2018.

Still think Markell is the clear choice

[Holmes]

Democrats have over performed Clinton in every special election since the election

Except VA HD-85.

[heatcharger]

On a side note, Hansen could be a good candidate to replace Carper in 2018.

Still think Markell is the clear choice

Yeah that was probably too ambitious of a vision. It seems like she has a chance to move up the ladder though.

[Gass3268]

Democrats have over performed Clinton in every special election since the election

Except VA HD-85.

Noted!

[Ronnie]

Democrats have over performed Clinton in every special election since the election

Except VA HD-85.

Is there any reason in particular Dems lost this seat?  Was the Republican a strong candidate and the Dem a weak one? 

[heatcharger]

Democrats have over performed Clinton in every special election since the election

Except VA HD-85.

Is there any reason in particular Dems lost this seat?  Was the Republican a strong candidate and the Dem a weak one? 

The Republican candidate was pretty good, and you have to remember this was before Trump was inaugurated.

[Holmes]

It's a lean R district in Virginia Beach but should be a target for Democrats this November.

http://www.vpap.org/offices/house-of-delegates-85/district/

[Maxwell]

This district was really close in 2014, and turnout looked pretty similar to the 2014 election, which is remarkable considering this is a special election in February in an off off year.

by Delaware standards, this is a swing district.

[MAINEiac4434]

For a long time, this was a Republican seat. It only went Dem for the first time in a generation in 2008. We'll find, Senator-elect Hansen.

[smoltchanov]

Democrats finally becoming interested and organized (it took a lot of heavy losses for that to happen)? Good sign. I feared that one-party system is coming...

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

For a long time, this was a Republican seat. It only went Dem for the first time in a generation in 2008. We'll find, Senator-elect Hansen.

And DE-AL was Republican for a while until Democrats picked it up in 2010. It would be a mistake to extrapolate that to Democratic performance nationwide, to say the least.

[Figueira]

Democrats have over performed Clinton in every special election since the election

Except VA HD-85.

Is there any reason in particular Dems lost this seat?  Was the Republican a strong candidate and the Dem a weak one? 

The Republican candidate was pretty good, and you have to remember this was before Trump was inaugurated.

Also Clinton overperformed almost every US House Democrat in 2016. I'm seeing a pattern here....

[smoltchanov]

On a side note, Hansen could be a good candidate to replace Carper in 2018.

Is he retiring?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

For a long time, this was a Republican seat. It only went Dem for the first time in a generation in 2008. We'll find, Senator-elect Hansen.

And DE-AL was Republican for a while until Democrats picked it up in 2010. It would be a mistake to extrapolate that to Democratic performance nationwide, to say the least.

That was a very different situation given that Mike Castle was an institution in Delaware politics.

[Holmes]

On a side note, Hansen could be a good candidate to replace Carper in 2018.

Is he retiring?

I believe his fundraising is pretty lackluster.

[Suburbia]

I like Sen. Carper. I think he's still running. He is a moderate Democrat in some senses. The Delaware Republican bench is pretty bad. If he retires, the Delaware Democratic bench will go for it.

[Maxwell]

sadly most Dems, if not all Dems, in Delaware are incredibly loyal to Carper. He will not face a serious primary challenge from any elected official. Count on it.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

sadly most Dems, if not all Dems, in Delaware are incredibly loyal to Carper. He will not face a serious primary challenge from any elected official. Count on it.

It's really a shame because he really deserves a primary opponent and there is pretty much no risk of losing the seat with a more liberal Democrat.

[Figueira]

TYT is very invested in Cava's campaign in Connecticut.

[The Other Castro]

TYT is very invested in Cava's campaign in Connecticut.

$40,000 and growing.

Also, turnout for Senate 32 (the only race that matters) is expected to be around 12%.

[The Other Castro]

TYT is very invested in Cava's campaign in Connecticut.

$40,000 and growing.

Also, turnout for Senate 32 (the only race that matters) is expected to be around 12%.

what's your prediction on who will win?

No change in status quo:
Senate District 32 - Eric Berthel, R Hold (~55-65% of the vote)
Senate District 2 - Douglas McCrory, D Hold (~75-85% of the vote)
House District 115 - Dorinda Borer, D Hold (~65-75% of the vote)

[The Other Castro]

Turnout is reportedly light, as expected, in the 2 Senate districts with special elections today.

In Senate District 32 (the Republican seat), Watertown is one of the largest towns and has 15,523 registered voters, but had only 1,453 people vote by noon.

Polls close at 8PM Eastern.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Has anyone been able to find a results page for tonight? The SOS and AP don't have anything, and google doesn't seem to reveal anything either.

[BuckeyeNut]

Turnout is reportedly light, as expected, in the 2 Senate districts with special elections today.

In Senate District 32 (the Republican seat), Watertown is one of the largest towns and has 15,523 registered voters, but had only 1,453 people vote by noon.

Polls close at 8PM Eastern.

Extrapolating 12% turnout from 10.5% turnout at midday seems misguided. Don't most people with jobs vote after work?