Talk Elections
Forum
Contact
|
US Election Atlas
Election 2020
Election Results
Election Info
Atlas Wiki
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
Did you miss your
activation email?
January 27, 2021, 02:25:02 AM
Talk Elections
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Presidential Election Trends
(Moderator:
Virginiá
)
"Red states" and "blue states"
« previous
next »
Pages:
[
1
]
Author
Topic: "Red states" and "blue states" (Read 7557 times)
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,908
"Red states" and "blue states"
«
on:
July 21, 2005, 11:54:14 PM »
«
edited:
July 21, 2005, 11:57:08 PM
by
Alcon »
Just a quick rant on one of my least favourite labels. I don't mean to offend anyone, and I know it's became a part of the lexicon, but I just want to make my peace...
Next time before you call a state a "red" state or a "blue" state, keep this in mind...
If you got 10 random people from every state in a room, all but five states and the District of Columbia would be statistically most likely likely to have a 6-4 or 5-5 alignment, and if I was in a crowd with 6 against 4 or even 7 against 3, I would hardly call that one-sided.
There are very few states that do not have at least a few counties, or at least areas, that have strikingly different politics than the state overall. So the idea that an entire state can be "red" or "blue" falls apart when you look down to a county level, and especially to town level and even further to the neighbourhood level.
Now I know there are major exceptions like D.C., but these are rare and generally targeted politically (San Francisco or Kansas bashing, anyone?) because they are rare. Even in a state like Utah, over 25% of the population voted Democrat in 2004. That is over one in four people - it may be a huge landslide, but it's still one out every four people, and a one-in-four event is hardly a rare one.
So, for those of you who assign labels like "red state" or "blue state" as if it was some sort of cultural standard (especially, for God's sake, a state like New Mexico or Wisconsin!), consider that even in a two-to-one landslide, that one-third of the population remains, and two-thirds does not a universal lifestyle make.
Logged
jacob_101
Jr. Member
Posts: 647
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #1 on:
July 22, 2005, 12:54:52 AM »
I agree with you Alcon. Maybe we could just refer to blue and red states only when a candidate on the national level consistantly gets 60% or better. Otherwise it's too close to just label it blue or red.
I would say Utah is a blue state and DC is a red state.
Logged
Erc
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 5,823
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #2 on:
July 22, 2005, 02:11:38 AM »
Quote from: jacob_101 on July 22, 2005, 12:54:52 AM
I agree with you Alcon. Maybe we could just refer to blue and red states only when a candidate on the national level consistantly gets 60% or better. Otherwise it's too close to just label it blue or red.
I would say Utah is a blue state and DC is a red state.
The world outside this forum would think you're crazy.
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,403
Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #3 on:
July 22, 2005, 04:22:48 AM »
Quote from: jacob_101 on July 22, 2005, 12:54:52 AM
I agree with you Alcon. Maybe we could just refer to blue and red states only when a candidate on the national level consistantly gets 60% or better. Otherwise it's too close to just label it blue or red.
I would say Utah is a blue state and DC is a red state.
Even with 60%, that's still 40% of the state who didn't vote for that candidate, and I don't think that that 40% will appreciate you alleging that they supported that candidate by calling the state a (red/blue) state.
How about we just forget that terminology?
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,790
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #4 on:
July 22, 2005, 04:56:17 AM »
I agree with Alcon, I think you make an excellent and highly valid point. To talk about red or blue voters is somewhat more acceptable, but generally one should attempt to keep geography out of it.
Logged
dazzleman
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,784
Political Matrix
E: 1.88, S: 1.59
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #5 on:
July 22, 2005, 07:10:51 AM »
As a "red" voter who lives in a "blue" state, I agree with you Alcon. I would also say that it's not at all difficult to find moderate to conservative Republican voters where I live. Most of my friends are moderate to conservative Republicans, living in New York and Connecticut.
Logged
Now We Are Free
BRTD
Atlas Institution
Posts: 92,909
Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #6 on:
July 22, 2005, 10:35:52 AM »
Quote from: dazzleman on July 22, 2005, 07:10:51 AM
As a "red" voter who lives in a "blue" state, I agree with you Alcon. I would also say that it's not at all difficult to find moderate to conservative Republican voters where I live. Most of my friends are moderate to conservative Republicans, living in New York and Connecticut.
and you say I isolate myself from reality only hanging out with people who agree with me.
Logged
tarheel-leftist85
krustytheklown
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,274
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #7 on:
July 22, 2005, 11:08:36 AM »
I agree with the premise of this post, especially since I'm from a state that went to Bush by a meager 12 pts. I think some people would nominate Virginia and North Carolina as deep red (or blue on this forum) states beofre they would Utah and Idaho.
Logged
dazzleman
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,784
Political Matrix
E: 1.88, S: 1.59
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #8 on:
July 22, 2005, 06:48:13 PM »
Quote from: Frente Farabundo Martí para la Liberación Nacional on July 22, 2005, 10:35:52 AM
Quote from: dazzleman on July 22, 2005, 07:10:51 AM
As a "red" voter who lives in a "blue" state, I agree with you Alcon. I would also say that it's not at all difficult to find moderate to conservative Republican voters where I live. Most of my friends are moderate to conservative Republicans, living in New York and Connecticut.
and you say I isolate myself from reality only hanging out with people who agree with me.
WTF? You have said that you wouldn't be friends with anybody who voted for Bush. I never said that I have no Democratic friends, just that most of my friends happen to be Republicans. You isolate yourself far more than I do.
Logged
muon2
Moderators
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,701
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #9 on:
July 22, 2005, 07:52:53 PM »
I'm hoping the notion fades as well. But my bias is that the choice of "red" and "blue" in the media froze a particular pattern that a particular network used for a particular election.
I personally prefer our fine scheme here on the Atlas. It's a better match to the tradiational liberal-conservative color scheme. The networks are proabably better served by returning to their alternating pattern that used to exist, but it's hard to see that happening when the currnet lables have stuck in the media.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
Posts: 63,496
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #10 on:
July 23, 2005, 08:06:18 AM »
Mind if I post this here as well?
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,599
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #11 on:
July 23, 2005, 11:50:56 AM »
The 6-4, or more closely, perhaps, 11-9 rule is something that I try to remind my Conservative friends of all of the time. If we just open up a bit, Minnesota, Wisconsin, PA, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Washington and perhaps even Connecticut and California are not close to being out of the grasp of the next Republican Presidential candidate.
Logged
AuH2O
YaBB God
Posts: 4,239
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #12 on:
July 23, 2005, 02:30:12 PM »
I of course agree with this.
All things considered, Bush got a goodly number of votes in Mass., and that's with a Texas twang and walk. Got a real goodly number in Conn. Obviously the same can be said for Kerry in "deep blue" states .
11001010101110100001
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
Posts: 63,496
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #13 on:
July 23, 2005, 03:43:12 PM »
Purple=mixed (ie: 1 D, 1 R) or non partisan. Green is Indie or Third Party
Logged
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,589
Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #14 on:
July 24, 2005, 11:47:45 AM »
it is also important to note that the 'bluest of the blue' states: vermont, massachusetts, rhode island, hawaii, and connecticut, all have gop governors.
meanwhile democrats hold the governors office in north carolina, wyoming, montana. tennessee, virginia
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Legend
Posts: 49,101
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #15 on:
July 25, 2005, 12:23:57 AM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on July 24, 2005, 11:47:45 AM
it is also important to note that the 'bluest of the blue' states: vermont, massachusetts, rhode island, hawaii, and connecticut, all have gop governors.
meanwhile democrats hold the governors office in north carolina, wyoming, montana. tennessee, virginia
They're less politically polarizing than President. BTW, no one tell Romney that when the state House and Senate are well over 2/3rds Democratic, that means he has no power.
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,067
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #16 on:
July 25, 2005, 03:00:11 AM »
Quote from: jfern on July 25, 2005, 12:23:57 AM
Quote from: WalterMitty on July 24, 2005, 11:47:45 AM
it is also important to note that the 'bluest of the blue' states: vermont, massachusetts, rhode island, hawaii, and connecticut, all have gop governors.
meanwhile democrats hold the governors office in north carolina, wyoming, montana. tennessee, virginia
They're less politically polarizing than President. BTW, no one tell Romney that when the state House and Senate are well over 2/3rds Democratic, that means he has no power.
Correct the GOP govenors in the blue states tend to be moderate to liberal Republicans, more liberal than the Natl GOP party (Romney has moved to the right, but ran as a moderate & the Dem Govenors in GOP states do tend to be moderate to conservative Democrats, more conservative than the Dem Natl Party.
Logged
GA > OH, FL, NC
Adam Griffin
Atlas Icon
Posts: 17,900
Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #17 on:
July 25, 2005, 02:29:05 PM »
People in 'polarized' states simply trust their local parties more than the national ones, I would assume. At least that's how it is around here.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
Posts: 63,496
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #18 on:
July 26, 2005, 09:18:47 AM »
Quote from: Smash255 on July 25, 2005, 03:00:11 AM
Correct the GOP govenors in the blue states
There are no "blue states". There are no "red states". How long does this little truth take to take root into your thought patterns?
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,067
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #19 on:
July 26, 2005, 10:28:43 PM »
Quote from: Attorney General Al on July 26, 2005, 09:18:47 AM
Quote from: Smash255 on July 25, 2005, 03:00:11 AM
Correct the GOP govenors in the blue states
There are no "blue states". There are no "red states". How long does this little truth take to take root into your thought patterns?
Point is Dem Govenors in states Bush won tend to be more conservative than the dem Natl Party, Republican Govenors in states Kerry won tend to be more liberal than the Natl Republican party.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
Posts: 14,706
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43
Re: "Red states" and "blue states"
«
Reply #20 on:
July 27, 2005, 07:31:39 AM »
I've always used the terms "red state" / "blue" state just because it's a simple dichotomy. The trouble if you look at most "blue states", geographically, they're pretty red, which is where it can almost seem paradoxical
I suppose anywhere where the margin of victory for one party was less than 10% over the other; then it's neither red nor blue
Dave
Logged
Pages:
[
1
]
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2024 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> 2020 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results
=> Presidential Election Process
===> Polling
=> Presidential Election Trends
=> Election What-ifs?
===> Past Election What-ifs (US)
===> Alternative Elections
===> International What-ifs
-----------------------------
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Gubernatorial/State Elections
===> 2022 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2021 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls
=> Congressional Elections
===> 2022 Senate & House Election Polls
=> International Elections
=> Election Predictions
-----------------------------
About this Site
-----------------------------
===> How To
=> The Atlas
-----------------------------
General Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Constitution and Law
=> Religion & Philosophy
=> History
===> Alternative History
-----------------------------
General Politics
-----------------------------
=> U.S. General Discussion
=> Political Geography & Demographics
=> International General Discussion
=> Economics
=> Individual Politics
=> Political Debate
===> Political Essays & Deliberation
===> Book Reviews and Discussion
-----------------------------
Election Archive
-----------------------------
=> Election Archive
===> 2018 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2016 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
===> 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=====> 2014 House Election Polls
=====> 2014 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2012 Elections
=====> 2012 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2012 House Election Polls
=====> 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=====> 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
=====> 2012 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2010 Elections
=====> 2010 House Election Polls
=====> 2010 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2008 Elections
=====> 2008 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2008 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
===> 2006 Elections
=====> 2006 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2006 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election
=====> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
=====> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Polls
===> Town Hall
===> Survivor
===> 2020 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2020 Senate & House Election Polls
-----------------------------
Forum Community
-----------------------------
=> Forum Community
===> Forum Community Election Match-ups
=> Election and History Games
===> Mock Parliament
=> Off-topic Board
-----------------------------
Atlas Fantasy Elections
-----------------------------
=> Atlas Fantasy Elections
===> Voting Booth
=> Atlas Fantasy Government
===> Constitutional Convention
===> Regional Governments
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Terms of Service
-
DMCA Agent and Policy
-
Privacy Policy and Cookies
Powered by SMF 1.1.21
|
SMF © 2015, Simple Machines
Page created in 0.063 seconds with 11 queries.
Loading...