2020 Prediction: Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

[Ricky1121]

Trump: 280 EVS
Harris: 258 EVS

[UncleSam]

It's hard to see how a Republican (even Trump) could be winning in Minnesota and New Hampshire while losing in Florida and Arizona. The latter two of those are at least 3 - 5 points more Republican in a generic R vs generic D race, and in such a polarized country I just don't see how Harris would be winning in Florida if she can't hold Minnesota (or conversely, how Trump could take Minnesota and New Hampshire while dropping Arizona). Also worth noting that this assumes Trump maintains his Midwestern popularity while losing all southern popularity, and that's just not very likely. I think Trump did worse in Arizona in 2016 than he would do against anyone in 2020 due to all the campaigning done there by Clinton surrogates. That being said, I also think he over performed in Minnesota and Michigan (and maybe Wisconsin) due to Clinton's unpopularity there, and that Harris would be able to win comfortably in at least Minnesota and maybe Michigan too.

Trump would definitely be winning Florida vs Harris if the election were held today, though it's anyone's guess whether he will be able to turn out as many people as he did there in 2016.

[Figueira]

I think Harris wins, probably picking up MI, NC, PA, GA, and FL. Maybe AZ and WI as well, but I'm unsure.

[falling apart like the ashes of American flags]

Based on the way she's performed at some hearings so far I suspect Harris will probably have some sort of Marco Rubio esque debate moments if she runs. And then she ain't winning the nomination.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Based on the way she's performed at some hearings so far I suspect Harris will probably have some sort of Marco Rubio esque debate moments if she runs. And then she ain't winning the nomination.

Exactly how I have felt all along. The Democrats are trying to recreate 2008. You can't recreate once in a lifetime candidates. It needs to develop organically. Ironically, Rubio and Harris are two of the biggest disgraces in America.