2020: Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton

[Ricky1121]

Not a huge change from 2016, but Trump flips several states: Colorado, Nevada, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and the state of Maine. Clinton would hold onto Virginia, due to the DC suburbs. She would also hold New Mexico, due to the highly liberal and Democratic northern part of that state, including Santa Fe and Albuquerque.

Trump's appeal holds in the Midwest as he brings back thousands of jobs to that area. He flips Minnesota, and holds onto Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He also flips Colorado by appealing even stronger in that states rust belt (Pueblo County), and performing stronger in the Denver Metro Area counties of Adams, Arapahoe, and Jefferson.

[History505]

I highly doubt Hillary Clinton will run again, she knows it time for someone else to try.

[Pericles]

I think Clinton would win as she would focus more on the Midwest and Trump's base would be less energised as he failed to deliver on his promises while college-educated whites and a majority of Americans disapprove of his presidency.

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

I actually think Hillary would flip Arizona and Florida in a rematch.  Trump is doubling down on the anti-immigrant stuff and for some reason Hillary is very popular among latina women.  A few more years of registering angry latinas in Orlando and Tampa might provide her the votes she needs.

-How come Florida trended GOP by nearly three points from 2000 to 2016?

[Liberalrocks]

She would likely win unless Trump is considered a success. I believe if we voted today, she would have the 270 needed,  just look at his approvals. She would focus on the Midwest and less on states outside the required road to 270. In the process she still may pick up additional non-core 270 states, but running taking no state on the road to 270 for granted. She would be running not as a face of an incumbent administration but that of an experienced outsider one who warned people of what had been to come. Her status would be different then that of 2016. Barring another Comey type drop, she wins.

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

I actually think Hillary would flip Arizona and Florida in a rematch.  Trump is doubling down on the anti-immigrant stuff and for some reason Hillary is very popular among latina women.  A few more years of registering angry latinas in Orlando and Tampa might provide her the votes she needs.

-How come Florida trended GOP by nearly three points from 2000 to 2016?

Because he cleaned up in the rural counties.  Do you mean 2012 to 2016?  It was 50/50 in 2000 and he didn't win it by 3 points in 2016...

-I said "trended".

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

She would likely win unless Trump is considered a success. I believe if we voted today, she would have the 270 needed,  just look at his approvals. She would focus on the Midwest and less on states outside the required road to 270. In the process she still may pick up additional non-core 270 states, but running taking no state on the road to 270 for granted. She would be running not as a face of an incumbent administration but that of an experienced outsider one who warned people of what had been to come. Her status would be different then that of 2016. Barring another Comey type drop, she wins.

-Trump's favorability rating is 10 points higher now than on Nov 8.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Trump wins, and hopefully the Democratic party just disbands in shame afterwards.