Hypothetical New Hampshire Democrtic primary
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Author Topic: Hypothetical New Hampshire Democrtic primary  (Read 1045 times)
justfollowingtheelections
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« on: January 23, 2017, 09:58:16 PM »
Let's assume that the following 5 candidates are on the ballot:

- Kamala Harris, California Senator
- Maggie Hassan, New Hampshire Senator
- John Hickenlooper, Former Governor of Colorado
- Amy Klobuchar, Minnesota Senator
- Bernie Sanders, Vermont Senator

The results in Iowa (assuming that Iowa still has 44 delegates) were:
Sanders 24 delegates
Klobuchar 20
Everyone else 0

Predict the percentages of the 5 candidates listed above in New Hampshire.
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #1 on: January 23, 2017, 10:21:55 PM »
Sanders wins over half the vote. Hassan gets 20 percent. Klobuchar is third with 15 percent.

Momentum. Everyone is feeling the Bern. 
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2017, 10:48:46 PM »
Bernie Sanders: 45%
Maggie Hassan: 34%
John Hickenlooper: 12%
Kamala Harris: 5%
Amy Klobuchar: 3%
Others: 1%
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2017, 11:29:07 PM »
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #4 on: January 23, 2017, 11:53:27 PM »
Climbing Maggie: 120%
Bernie: 5%
Everyone else combined: -10%
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #5 on: January 24, 2017, 12:00:39 AM »
Hassan (44%), Sanders (38%), Hickenlooper (10%), Klobuchar (4%), Harris (4%)
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politics_king
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« Reply #6 on: January 24, 2017, 03:51:55 AM »
Hassan would have the edge, don't think Bernie will run but Klobucher would be right behind Hassan.
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Figueira
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« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2017, 01:03:47 PM »
Hassan: 45%
Sanders: 33%
Harris 14%
Klobuchar 7%
Hickenlooper: 1%

Hassan drops out after the next contest where she struggles to win 5% of the vote. The race becomes Sanders vs. Harris, and I think Harris wins, but her win is narrower than Clinton's 2016 win.
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America Needs R'hllor
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« Reply #8 on: January 24, 2017, 05:18:59 PM »
Quote from: Kingpoleon, Never The Best/Worst Poster on January 23, 2017, 10:48:46 PM
Bernie Sanders: 45%
Maggie Hassan: 34%
John Hickenlooper: 12%
Kamala Harris: 5%
Amy Klobuchar: 3%
Others: 1%

Something along these lines. Probably replace Klobucher and Hickenlooper though,
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Eharding
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« Reply #9 on: January 24, 2017, 06:43:20 PM »
Sanders would win New Hampshire.
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #10 on: January 25, 2017, 11:05:38 AM »
Bernie: 51.4%
Hassan: 47.2%
Everyone else: 1.4%

After this, everyone else drops out, and realizing that she was only competitive and didn't even win in her home state, and after a 30 point defeat in Nevada and an 8 point defeat in SC, she drops out.
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Blair
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« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2017, 11:07:38 AM »
There's a good chance that if Bernie didn't run that NH would be like Iowa in 1992- everyone would just skip it
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