Trump Pence vs Bullock/Warren

[American2020]

Discuss with maps.

[Dr. Arch]

I think the next Democrat to win the presidency carries GA, AZ, and possibly TX.

[AGA]

If Trump is unpopular, this could happen.

[Blackacre]

That's certainly been the common theme: every new President has traditionally always won at least one state that the party's last President failed to win, and AZ and GA fit that (and NC if you don't count 2008).

I looked it up, and since the Republican Party came into existence in 1856, the only Presidents to not win a state their past party's President failed to win were George H.W. Bush and Harry Truman

[Blackacre]

Yeah, someone on RRH pointed that out a few months ago, and I found it fascinating, but I guess it fits with the overall theme of shifting coalitions in the parties throughout time. And obviously HW and Truman aren't really fair since their predecessors wiped out their opponents on the EC map.

Yeah, that's true. (though, Truman won Colorado, which FDR lost twice, and Ohio, which FDR lost the last time. HW Bush won Georgia, which Reagan only won once)