Your top 5 most likely people to be president four years from today

[DavidB.]

I don't know why people are putting Trump at #1? He's very unpopular from the beginning, unlike W. Bush and Obama which were pretty high at 60%-80% when they started. I use that as a reason for him to not be re-elected. 

The simple fact that he's got an almost 100% chance of being the GOP nominee whereas we don't know who will be the Democratic nominee makes him the #1 already, regardless of his chances of actually getting re-elected.

[DefeatWhiteSupremacy]

Republicans will never win another presidential election from here on out. Bet on it.

That's what they said in 2008.

The last time republicans won a legitimate election was in 1988. Since then they have lost the popular vote every four years (Bush in 04' doesn't count because he lost in 2000). The main problem we have is that our constitution still has a system in place that chooses a President without accounting for what the people want. The entire purpose of the electoral college was to appease slave holding states. Unfortunately this racist system and legacy lives on in this country and we must support legislation such as the Popular Vote Interstate Act to fix this.

[DefeatWhiteSupremacy]

Republicans will never win another presidential election from here on out. Bet on it.

That's what they said in 2008.

Don't feed the troll. He's off to a very bad start.

1. I'm a woman
2. You're ignorant

[DavidB.]

Whose sock are you?

[DefeatWhiteSupremacy]

Whose sock are you?

I honestly don't recall. I've been banned so many times at this point that I just keep creating new ones.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Whose sock are you?

I honestly don't recall. I've been banned so many times at this point that I just keep creating new ones.

Ignored

[Mr. Smith]

1. Elizabeth Warren
2. Donald Trump
3. Mike Pence
4. Cory Booker
5. Julian Castro

I don't know why people are putting Trump at #1? He's very unpopular from the beginning, unlike W. Bush and Obama which were pretty high at 60%-80% when they started. I use that as a reason for him to not be re-elected.  

"Muh Reagan wasn't all that popular when he started but look at '84" reasoning.

No, not really. Approval ratings at this point in time are not relevant. You and your party have learned nothing from this election if you think 2020 will be a cakewalk. Trump is the incumbent president and of course he should be #1. No one here knows for sure what will happen in 2020.

Who's saying anything about cakewalks?

All that can be gathered is that this election was really unusual, so incumbency does not necessarily have the same clout as it should. Especially when you have such a powerful Congress that expects everything to go their way and won't necessarily bend to every whim of the President, as this one so wants.

If Madame President happened, the same obstacles would be on her, and the midterms would definitively swing R.

Sure it's all up in the air, but these aren't good optics to start with and it's much rarer for bad optics everywhere to suddenly flip than it is for incumbents to be taken out.

[exopolitician]

Sanders
Warren
Trump
Booker
Pence

[houseonaboat]

1. Donald Trump - 60%. He's an incumbent. The party will consolidate around him. The opposition, though loud, is fractured and decimated at an electoral level. A lot can change within four years but right now, he has the upper hand.

2. Elizabeth Warren - 20%. Not clear if she even will run, but she's the only candidate that can unify the Sanders and Hillary coalitions, and she could make gains in some Obama states that Trump won.

3. Cory Booker - 10%. He clearly wants to run, and, criticisms from the left aside, is an obviously talented politician who would do well in a Democratic primary. But his record isn't spotless and he'll struggle uniting the Democratic Party the same way Clinton did.

4. Kamala Harris - 5%. Elizabeth Warren, but half-black, half-Indian. She may do stupidly well in a Democratic primary.

5. The field - 5%.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Seeing as there is no clear favorite for the Democratic nomination, it's

1. Trump
2-5. Who knows

[politics_king]

1.) Trump
2.) Gabbard
3.) Klobuchar
4.) Booker
5.) Pence

[SWE]

1. Trump
2. Pence
3. Gabbard

Nobody else is worth mentioning because those scenarios assume 2020 will be a free and fair election.

[Cynthia]

1. Donald Trump
2. Elizabeth Warren
3. Sherrod Brown
4. Mike Pence
5. Cory Booker