Ecuador election, 19th February

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Sir John Johns, could you explain some of the patterns of the presidential and referendum maps? Some are intuitive or can be made sense of, but I'd be interested in getting more background.

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Thank you, that was fascinating.

To what extent do you think the Correa government's various 'asistencialista' benefits to the poor can explain the results in the poorest region, like the non-urban parts of the Costa? Studies have shown correlations between beneficiaries of social benefits and pro-government voting in Brazil, Mexico and Colombia (and probably elsewhere) so I imagine it would be true in Ecuador as well.

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Let's try to keep this thread excellent and high-quality till the end.

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It seems as if, in the cities, the wealthiest and middle-class sections voted for Lasso and the poorer barrios voted for Lenín. Is that correct? Obviously Samborondón in Guayas voted quasi-unanimously for Lasso.