Ecuador election, 19th February

[Tender Branson]

84% counted and Moreno has 39%.

Turnout was 83%.

[Tender Branson]

My prediction:

51.84% Lenin
48.16% Lasso

Turnout: 87.6%

[Tender Branson]

Lenin currently at 51.1%

Would be nice if he'd increase his share to 51.8% because then my prediction would be spot-on.

My turnout estimate was a bit off though: 88% vs. 83% in actual returns

[Tender Branson]

Moreno's personal story is very inspiring (paralyzed after a shooting, subsquent advocacy for handicapped people). He was very close to win the 2012 Nobel Peace Prize.

I think it's wonderful to see someone like him beating the adversity. Certainly a very positive message as far as disability rights are concerned.

Roughly the same background as Norbert Hofer. The difference is that Lenin was shot, while Hofer's paraglyder collapsed. Both seems to be heavily involved in the work for handicapped people though.