Ecuador election, 19th February

[FredLindq]

Lenín Moreno 39.11% (Left)
Guillermo Lasso 28.32% (Centre-right)
Cynthia Viteri 16.29% (Right) Endorsed Lasso
Paco Moncayo 6.78% (Centre-left) will not endorse anyone
Dalo Bucaram 4.77% (Populism, centre-right)
Iván Espinel 3.19% (Populism)
Patricio Zuquilanda 0.77% (Centre-left) Endorsed Lasso
Washington Pesántez 0.76% (Centre-left)

So Lasso can get about 28,3+16,3+0,8 = 45,4%
Say that Moncays voters anyway votes for Moreno as well as Pesántez which gives Moreno 39,1+6,8+0,8 =46,7%

So it is up to the voters off Bucaram and Espinel. Were might they swing?

I think that the second round  might be very close...

[FredLindq]

Segunda vuelta
Fuente                           Lenín Moreno   Guillermo Lasso
24/02/17   CIS68   59,0%   41,0%
25/02/17   CEDATOS69   49,0%   51,0%
01/03/17   DIAGNOSTICO70   58,39%   41,61%

It seems like Lenin  is the frontrunner?!

[FredLindq]

The strange thing is that these figures from Wikipedia is not right if you look at the links. In Cetadaos its really 52-48 for Lasso. Dignostico 50-42 for Lenin. This poll is however taken away from Wikipedia now...