Ecuador election, 19th February
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May 07, 2021, 03:01:04 PM

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  Ecuador election, 19th February
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Author Topic: Ecuador election, 19th February  (Read 12318 times)
emotional hardcore
BRTD
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« Reply #50 on: April 02, 2017, 11:31:21 AM »

Go Lasso! No more Assange!
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #51 on: April 02, 2017, 12:36:55 PM »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #52 on: April 02, 2017, 01:02:23 PM »

My prediction:

51.84% Lenin
48.16% Lasso

Turnout: 87.6%
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
kataak
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« Reply #53 on: April 02, 2017, 01:08:06 PM »



oink oink
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #54 on: April 02, 2017, 01:30:39 PM »


Good to see you're supporting a right-wing candidate.
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warandwar
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« Reply #55 on: April 02, 2017, 01:36:39 PM »


n e o l i b e r a l

This is like the definition of the New Imperialism
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God-Empress Stacey I of House Abrams
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« Reply #56 on: April 02, 2017, 01:56:04 PM »

Go Lenin! (left-wing normal)
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #57 on: April 02, 2017, 02:10:36 PM »


I don't think BRTD knows a single thing about Ecuador beside "muh Assange"
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #58 on: April 02, 2017, 02:40:37 PM »

Hot Take: BRTD enjoys being an art project.

Otherwise...Ecuador is a nice contrast to Venzuela and i hope, it could survive with both outcomes.

Mostly cause i think, a "left revolution" is only really good, if it can survice government change.
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Hash
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« Reply #59 on: April 02, 2017, 02:45:48 PM »

Let's try to keep this thread excellent and high-quality till the end.
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emotional hardcore
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« Reply #60 on: April 02, 2017, 03:16:59 PM »


Good to see you're supporting a right-wing candidate.

I'm supporting a center-right candidate over a de facto (per support of Assange) far right candidate.
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Sir John Johns
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« Reply #61 on: April 02, 2017, 05:06:14 PM »

According to a Cedatos exit poll, Lasso has won the election. However, according to a Perfiles de Opinión exit poll, it is Moreno who has won the election. The night will be long...
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God-Empress Stacey I of House Abrams
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« Reply #62 on: April 02, 2017, 05:07:31 PM »

According to a Cedatos exit poll, Lasso has won the election. However, according to a Perfiles de Opinión exit poll, it is Moreno who has won the election. The night will be long...

Do these polls have an agenda, or is one of them more reliable?
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Sir John Johns
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« Reply #63 on: April 02, 2017, 05:20:19 PM »

Cedatos has been accused by the government of being biaised against the AP but quite accurately predicted the results in the first round. IIRC, Perfiles de Opinión slighlty overestimated the result of Moreno in the first round.

Here the full results of the exit polls:

Perfiles de Opinión
Lenín Moreno 52.2%
Guillermo Lasso 47.8%

Cedatos
Guillermo Lasso 53.02%
Lenín Moreno 46.98%
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Intell
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« Reply #64 on: April 02, 2017, 07:24:25 PM »


Good to see you're supporting a right-wing candidate.

I'm supporting a center-right candidate over a de facto (per support of Assange) far right candidate.

I'll hope you content in screwing the poor, and the indigenous population.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #65 on: April 02, 2017, 07:30:47 PM »

Election called for Moreno.

https://www.caracaschronicles.com/2017/04/02/que-esta-pasando-en-ecuador/
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seb_pard
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« Reply #66 on: April 02, 2017, 07:37:32 PM »


Good to see you're supporting a right-wing candidate.

I'm supporting a center-right candidate over a de facto (per support of Assange) far right candidate.
OMG you have no idea what are you talking about.

Very good news about Moreno winning.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
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« Reply #67 on: April 02, 2017, 07:39:06 PM »

well, if your own "revolution" isn't going down in flames if the oil price goes down, you are also able to stay in power.

kudos, comrade lenin!
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Vosem
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« Reply #68 on: April 02, 2017, 07:43:18 PM »

Correa also called the first round as an outright victory for Moreno before late returns were more favorable to Lasso; counting votes takes a while, and according to the government website the "Conteo Rapido" has not even begun yet. Spanish news sites on the internet are also so far reporting only the exit poll results. So Moreno has not actually won yet.
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seb_pard
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« Reply #69 on: April 02, 2017, 07:45:42 PM »

According to El Universo, with 91% of the vote counted, the result is Lenin 51.04% Lasso 48.96%

https://twitter.com/eluniversocom/status/848693623336173568?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eluniverso.com%2Ffiles%2Fliveblog%2F%3Fc%3Dp
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Vosem
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« Reply #70 on: April 02, 2017, 08:06:19 PM »

Here is the official government website, which seems to believe they haven't started counting: https://resultados2017.cne.gob.ec/frmResultados.aspx

Here is El Universo, indeed reporting that Moreno leads 51-49 with 93% reporting, but most of the provinces are still under 50%, which seems suspicious to say the least: http://www.eluniverso.com/resultados-elecciones-ecuador-presidente-2017

El Universo's Twitter account is showing pictures of Lasso's supporters celebrating the results of the exit polls in the streets of Quito; would be darkly amusing to say the least if he ended up losing.
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jfern
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« Reply #71 on: April 02, 2017, 08:18:47 PM »

Here is the official government website, which seems to believe they haven't started counting: https://resultados2017.cne.gob.ec/frmResultados.aspx

Here is El Universo, indeed reporting that Moreno leads 51-49 with 93% reporting, but most of the provinces are still under 50%, which seems suspicious to say the least: http://www.eluniverso.com/resultados-elecciones-ecuador-presidente-2017

El Universo's Twitter account is showing pictures of Lasso's supporters celebrating the results of the exit polls in the streets of Quito; would be darkly amusing to say the least if he ended up losing.

Somehow whoever posted this found a way to get results from that website.

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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #72 on: April 02, 2017, 09:15:12 PM »

With 95% Reporting, Moreno still has a 51-49 lead. I'm finding it hard to see how Lasso comes back. 200,000 votes is a lot to make up.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #73 on: April 02, 2017, 11:39:53 PM »

Moreno's lead appears to be increasing very slightly.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #74 on: April 02, 2017, 11:45:06 PM »

Lenin currently at 51.1%

Would be nice if he'd increase his share to 51.8% because then my prediction would be spot-on.

My turnout estimate was a bit off though: 88% vs. 83% in actual returns
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