Brazil Presidential and Congressional Elections 2018
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Author Topic: Brazil Presidential and Congressional Elections 2018  (Read 83378 times)
Mike88
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« Reply #450 on: October 28, 2018, 02:52:50 PM »
First polls will close in 8 minutes. Exit polls for São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais, Rio Grande do Sul and DF gubernatorial elections will be released.
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jaichind
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« Reply #451 on: October 28, 2018, 03:06:09 PM »
Quote from: NMR on October 28, 2018, 03:01:20 PM
Exit polls:

São Paulo

João Doria (PSDB): 52 %
Marcio França (PSB): 48 %


Is this not a bit positive for  Haddad?  It does seem to indicate that the first round MDB vote more likely or not tilted Left.  Is that right ?
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Hydera
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« Reply #452 on: October 28, 2018, 03:09:25 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on October 28, 2018, 03:06:09 PM
Quote from: NMR on October 28, 2018, 03:01:20 PM
Exit polls:

São Paulo

João Doria (PSDB): 52 %
Marcio França (PSB): 48 %


Is this not a bit positive for  Haddad?  It does seem to indicate that the first round MDB vote more likely or not tilted Left.  Is that right ?






Not really indicative of anything, Plus polls show that the race was going to be close anyways.
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Mike88
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« Reply #453 on: October 28, 2018, 03:13:29 PM »
No exit polls from Santa Catarina, but, with 0.09% counted, here's the results:

Moisés (PSL): 58.8%
Merísio (PSD): 41.2%
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #454 on: October 28, 2018, 03:16:11 PM »
I just bought 1000$ worth of Brazilian stock. Let’s go Jair!! Time for a TropicalTrumpBump!!
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njwes
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« Reply #455 on: October 28, 2018, 03:20:24 PM »
What's the best place to watch the returns come in?
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Mike88
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« Reply #456 on: October 28, 2018, 03:23:16 PM »
Quote from: njwes on October 28, 2018, 03:20:24 PM
What's the best place to watch the returns come in?

Some result sites:

https://politica.estadao.com.br/eleicoes/2018/cobertura-votacao-apuracao/segundo-turno

https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2018/apuracao/brasil/

https://especiais.gazetadopovo.com.br/eleicoes/2018/resultados/
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Umengus
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« Reply #457 on: October 28, 2018, 03:26:50 PM »
Brésil - Update Votes des expatriés brésiliens Paris - #Haddad 69,5% Munich - #Bolsonaro 52,3% Londres - #Bolsonaro 61,3% Lisbonne - #Bolsonaro 64,4% Tel Aviv - #Bolsonaro 77,3% Madrid - #Bolsonaro 59,8% Zurich - #Bolsonaro 61,1% Sydney - #Bolsonaro 65,3%
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #458 on: October 28, 2018, 03:41:10 PM »
Do the presidential exit polls come out at the top of the hour?
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Mike88
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« Reply #459 on: October 28, 2018, 03:41:31 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2018, 03:46:47 PM by Mike88 »
Rio Grande do Sul and Amapá are very, very close. SP, a bit close. The rest seems to be a foregone conclusion.

Also, interesting info. Until now, all gubernatorial candidates that are leading the vote tallies in the 2nd round, placed first in the 1st round.
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jaichind
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« Reply #460 on: October 28, 2018, 03:54:50 PM »
Any link that gives results by state ?
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jaichind
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« Reply #461 on: October 28, 2018, 03:58:35 PM »
For Prez race it seems 31% of the vote has been counted.  I wonder how much of the vote will be counted an hour from now when the exit polls and counted results can be released.
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njwes
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« Reply #462 on: October 28, 2018, 04:30:52 PM »



Thank you guys!
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Umengus
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« Reply #463 on: October 28, 2018, 04:33:23 PM »
Witzel with 60 % in rio (62% in). He overperforms last polls. Good sign for Bolsonaro.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #464 on: October 28, 2018, 04:38:32 PM »
The results we have so far as well as the foreign presidential results would all point to a 7-8 point Bolsonaro win
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #465 on: October 28, 2018, 04:57:06 PM »
Gonna guess 57-43 for Bolsonaro.
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jaichind
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« Reply #466 on: October 28, 2018, 05:00:50 PM »
Bolsonaro 56
Haddad 44
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #467 on: October 28, 2018, 05:01:02 PM »
Quote from: NMR on October 28, 2018, 05:00:22 PM
Presidential exit poll:

Bolsonaro (PSL): 56%
Haddad (PT): 44%

Hot damn I’m good.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #468 on: October 28, 2018, 05:02:32 PM »
Quote from: NMR on October 28, 2018, 05:00:22 PM
Presidential exit poll:

Bolsonaro (PSL): 56%
Haddad (PT): 44%
Tad wider than I expected, probably a result of anti-Bolsonaro voters abstaining due to Haddad's corruption
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jaichind
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« Reply #469 on: October 28, 2018, 05:03:33 PM »
With 88.44% of the vote counted it is

Bolsonaro 55.7
Haddad 44.3

It seems that given the historical counting bias Bolsonaro will under-perform exist polls.  Results will be more like 55-45
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DavidB.
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« Reply #470 on: October 28, 2018, 05:14:48 PM »
55.6-44.4 with 92% in.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #471 on: October 28, 2018, 05:17:56 PM »
Why are so many women voting for him?
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #472 on: October 28, 2018, 05:24:24 PM »
A sad day for Brazil and the world.
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JGibson
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« Reply #473 on: October 28, 2018, 05:25:42 PM »

I echo this. RIP to freedoms in Brazil.
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jaichind
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« Reply #474 on: October 28, 2018, 05:29:50 PM »
Quote from: NMR on October 28, 2018, 05:23:53 PM
Bolsonaro has just been officially declared the winner! Hell yeah!
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