2024: Is Wyoming a blue state yet?

[NOVA Green]

Absolutely not----

Although like many Western States, there is a significant concentration of population in "urban areas", namely the belt of cities that stretch all the way from Evanston to Cheyenne, even if we were to see a return to levels of support that the Democratic Party saw in these cities/counties some 30-40 years ago, the rural population would still outweigh the largest population centers in the state.

In a weird parallel universe, if Trump were to shift towards importing cheap Petroleum from the Middle East and Latin America, and undermine domestic Petro production, as part of an attempt to seal the deal with urban/suburban consumers in 2020, I could see a major swing in this part of the oil patch.

In such a scenario, the Democrats would need to have a candidate in 2024 that promotes energy independence, with domestic production of Petro/Natural Gas to protect American producers, combined with a significant investment into alternative energy production (Solar & Wind), where these are feasible and job creators that helps build a local economic boom, (akin to what North Dakota recently experienced).

Also, the Democratic candidate would need to let go of being perceived as an extremist on gun control, and instead solely focus on relatively popular items like universal background checks, and gun loopholes that allow Mexican cartels to buy their guns North of the border and export to Mexico, etc....

Voters in Wyoming do have a fairly strong "Big L" Libertarian streak, so aren't as concerned about items like Abortion and Gays, and similar such items....

Most likely as well, in order to win Wyoming in 2024, the Democratic candidate would need to significantly outperform Democratic margins in Rural Wyoming, where Natural Resource issues and similar items of the great "Sagebrush Rebellion" of the '80s were born, which would likely put the candidate at odds with the Environmentalist base of the Party....

Don't quite see it happening anytime soon, but IF Trump does a Reagan '85/'86 and screws over the Oil Patch by negotiating some sweetheart deal with the Saudis/Kuwaitis/Iraqis, etc..... I could potentially see a major swing even out in the heart of rough-neck country. Naturally, I would be looking for precinct results from Cheyenne and Rock Springs in such a hypothetical situation.