How did Trump win Pinellas County, FL? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 09:05:30 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  How did Trump win Pinellas County, FL? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How did Trump win Pinellas County, FL?  (Read 3276 times)
mistertheplague
Rookie
**
Posts: 44


« on: December 21, 2016, 12:37:42 AM »

Trump won Pinellas County while losing Hillsborough County, but in the past, Hillsborough County was the more Republican of the two. In 2012, Obama won Pinellas County by about 6 points. It contains a lot of urban areas since it is in the Tampa metro area and is home to the city of St. Petersburg. It is 76% white.  How did Trump win it this time?
You ever been to Pinellas? It has some areas, Clearwater for instance, that rival the Redneck Riviera.

Short answer: Bikers.

Longer answer: I'd bet the data would show, as in other parts of the country, a substantial number of long-term and late-cycle nonparticipants registering and voting in 2016.

Interestingly, Trump essentially replicated Obama's 2012 vote total, so the ~5K Clinton underperformed from 2012 was her margin of defeat.

Obama: 238,966     
Romney: 213,192

Clinton: 233,327         
Trump: 238,746
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 12 queries.