2000-2016 Trends: A comparison/map/analysis (user search)
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  2000-2016 Trends: A comparison/map/analysis (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2000-2016 Trends: A comparison/map/analysis  (Read 3310 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: December 04, 2016, 03:18:02 AM »
« edited: December 27, 2016, 10:03:00 PM by MT Treasurer »

2000-2016 Trend map



States with the strongest Democratic trends

1. Utah (Trend: 21.0% D)
2. California (Trend: 16.8% D)
3. Vermont (Trend: 14.9% D)
4. Alaska (Trend: 14.5% D)
5. Hawaii (Trend: 12.3% D)
6./7. Virginia (Trend: 11.7% D) and Colorado (Trend: 11.7% D)
8. Texas (Trend: 10.7% D)
9. DC (Trend: 9.0% D)
10. Oregon (Trend: 8.8% D)
11. Washington (Trend: 8.6% D)

States with the strongest Republican trends

1. West Virginia (Trend: 37.5% R)
2. Tennessee (Trend: 23.9% R)
3. Arkansas (Trend: 23.1% R)
4. Missouri (Trend: 16.9% R)
5. Kentucky (Trend: 16.3% R)
6. Oklahoma (Trend: 16.1% R)
7. Rhode Island (Trend: 15.2% R)
8. Alabama (Trend: 14.4% R)
9. Louisiana (Trend: 13.8% R)
10. Iowa (Trend: 11.3% R)

States with the smallest trends

1. South Carolina (Trend: 0.0% D/R)
2. New Hampshire (Trend: 0.1% D)
3./4. Arizona (Trend: 1.2% D)/Kansas (Trend: 1.4% R)
5. Massachusetts (Trend: 1.7% R)
6. Nebraska (Trend: 1.8% D)
7./8. Wisconsin (Trend: 2.5% R)/Minnesota (Trend: 2.5% R)
9./10. Florida (Trend: 2.8% R)/Mississippi (Trend: 2.8% R)
11. Montana (Trend: 2.9% D)
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MT Treasurer
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Posts: 15,284
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« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2016, 11:31:28 AM »
« Edited: December 27, 2016, 10:00:36 PM by MT Treasurer »

Btw, here are all the numbers:

National: 2000 → 2016: D+1.6

Alaska:  R+30.9 → R+14.8   → Trend: 14.5% D
Alabama: R+14.9 → R+27.7 → Trend: 14.4% R
Arizona: R+6.3→ R+3.5 → Trend: 1.2% D
Arkansas: R+5.4 → R+26.9 → Trend: 23.1% R
California: D+11.8 → D+30.2 → Trend: 16.8% D
Colorado: R+8.4→ D+4.9 → Trend: 11.7% D
Connecticut: D+17.5→ D+13.6 → Trend: 5.5% R
Delaware: D+13.1 → D+11.4 → Trend: 3.3% R
DC: D+76.2→ D+86.8 → Trend: 9.0% D
Florida: TIE → R+1.2 → Trend: 2.8% R
Georgia: R+11.7→ R+5.1 → Trend: 5.0% D
Hawaii: D+18.3 → D+32.2 → Trend: 12.3% D
Idaho: R+39.6→ R+31.8 → Trend: 6.2% D
Illinois: D+12.0→ D+17.1 → Trend: 3.5% D
Indiana: R+15.7→ R+18.9 → Trend: 4.8% R
Iowa: D+0.3 → R+9.4 → Trend: 11.3% R
Kentucky: R+15.1 → R+29.8 → Trend: 16.3% R
Kansas: R+20.8 → R+20.6 → Trend: 1.4% R
Louisiana: R+7.4 → R+19.6 → Trend: 13.8% R
Maine: D+5.1 → D+2.7 → Trend: 4.0% R
Maryland: D+16.4→ D+26.4 → Trend: 8.4% D
Massachusetts: D+27.3→ D+27.2 → Trend: 1.7% R
Michigan:  D+5.1 → R+0.2 → Trend: 6.9% R
Minnesota: D+2.4 → D+1.5 → Trend: 2.5% R
Mississippi: R+16.9→ R+18.1 → Trend: 2.8% R
Missouri: R+3.3→ R+18.6 → Trend: 16.9% R
Montana: R+25.0→ R+20.5 → Trend: 2.9% D
Nebraska: R+29.0→ R+25.6 → Trend: 1.8% D
Nevada: R+3.5→ D+2.4 → Trend: 4.3% D
New Hampshire: R+1.3→ D+0.4 → Trend: 0.1% D
New Jersey: D+15.8→ D+14.1 → Trend: 3.3% R
New Mexico: D+0.1→ D+8.2 → Trend: 6.7% D
New York: D+25.0 → D+21.2 → Trend: 5.4% R
North Carolina: R+12.8 → R+3.7 → Trend: 7.5% D
North Dakota: R+27.6→ R+35.7 → Trend: 9.7% R
Ohio: R+3.5→ R+8.1 → Trend: 6.2% R
Oklahoma: R+21.9→ R+36.4 → Trend: 16.1% R
Oregon: D+0.4→ D+10.8 → Trend: 8.8% D
Pennsylvania:  D+4.2→ R+0.8 → Trend: 6.6% R
Rhode Island: D+29.1→ D+15.5 → Trend: 15.2% R
South Carolina: R+15.9→ R+14.3 → Trend: 0% D/R
South Dakota: R+22.7→ R+29.8 → Trend: 8.7% R
Tennessee: R+3.9→ R+26.2 → Trend: 23.9% R
Texas: R+21.3→ R+9.0 → Trend: 10.7% D
Utah: R+40.5→ R+17.9  → Trend: 21.0% D
Vermont: D+9.9→ D+26.4 → Trend: 14.9% D
Virginia: R+8.0 → D+5.3 → Trend: 11.7% D
Washington: D+5.6→ D+15.8 → Trend: 8.6% D
West Virginia: R+6.3 → R+42.2 → Trend: 37.5% R
Wyoming: R+40.1→ R+46.3 → Trend: 7.8% R
Wisconsin: D+0.2 → R+0.7 → Trend: 2.5% R
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,284
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2016, 10:42:36 PM »


Yeah, interestingly enough, this looks very much like the 2012-2016 Trend map this year.
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MT Treasurer
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Posts: 15,284
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 27, 2016, 10:05:18 PM »

Clinton's national PV margin grew by 0.1% since I did this, so I have adjusted the numbers. SC now basically has a trend of exactly 0% R/D and NH has just a tiny 0.1% D trend.
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