UK Local Elections, 4th May 2017

[vileplume]

Andy Burnham (Lab) - 359,352 (63.4%)
Sean Anstee (Con) - 128,752 (22.7%)
Jane Brophy (LD) - 34,334 (6.1%)
Will Patterson (Grn) - 13,424 (2.4%)
Stephen Morris (English Democrats) - 11,115 (2.0%)
Shneur Odze (UKIP) - 10,583 (1.9%)
Mohammad Aslam (Ind) - 5,815 (1.0%)
Marcus Farmer (Ind) - 3,360 (0.6%)

lol at LibDem revival and Ukip

That is an extremely good performance by Burnham and he completely bucks the general trend of these results. As I understand it he was extremely populsr in his former Leigh constituency a but this must now extend to most of Greater Manchester. I wonder how many constituencies he actually lost? The only possible 3 would be Cheadle, Hazel Grove and Altrincham & Sale West but looking at the results from Stockport and Trafford even those must have been close...

[Phony Moderate]

He'd likely have done even better in Liverpool though.

[Clyde1998]

Wales (after 22/22 councils)
Lab - 472 (-107)
Ind - 322 (+11)
Plaid - 202 (+35)
Con - 184 (+80)
Lib - 62 (-11)
Oth - 6 (-7)
Grn - 1 (+1)
UKIP - 0 (-2)

[Barnes]

Labour holds Durham. A bit of a silver lining.

Also, Burnham's win is fantastic, especially for someone who's been pretty overwhelmingly rejected for a leadership position twice in a row.

[Clyde1998]

Conservatives WIN West Midlands Mayor

[Clyde1998]

The SNP are going to be short of a majority in Glasgow - and will require Green support to govern. Every mainland seat in Scotland is now under No Overall Control; only the three island councils have a majority - and they're all independent councils.

[Silent Hunter]

Labour holds Durham. A bit of a silver lining.

In an absolutely massive cloud. Labour are going backwards in elections.

[Clyde1998]

Scottish councils by largest party ordered by 'Yes' vote in 2014 independence referendum.

[Associate Justice PiT]

The SNP are going to be short of a majority in Glasgow - and will require Green support to govern. Every mainland seat in Scotland is now under No Overall Control; only the three island councils have a majority - and they're all independent councils.

     Why is Scotland like this? I saw the previous election's results had a few councils under partisan control, but most were still NOC.

[Barnes]

Labour holds Durham. A bit of a silver lining.

In an absolutely massive cloud. Labour are going backwards in elections.

Well of course.

[Clyde1998]

Scotland
SNP - 431 (-7)
Con - 276 (+164)
Lab - 262 (-133)
Ind - 172 (-26)
Lib - 67 (-3)
Grn - 19 (+5)
Oth - 0 (N/C)

There seems to be differences between what actually happened in 2012 and the changes reported by the BBC; I think it may be down to boundary changes. I'm reporting the BBC figures.

[Clyde1998]

The SNP are going to be short of a majority in Glasgow - and will require Green support to govern. Every mainland seat in Scotland is now under No Overall Control; only the three island councils have a majority - and they're all independent councils.

     Why is Scotland like this? I saw the previous election's results had a few councils under partisan control, but most were still NOC.

Scotland uses STV, while England and Wales uses FPTP (some with multiple winner FPTP seats).

[Terry the Fat Shark]

So despite all the hype SNP lost seats???

[IceAgeComing]

That Edinburgh council is a mess and I can't see anything other than a Labour/Tory minority coalition coming from it - the Greens there would rather work with Labour over the SNP but I can't see them ever backing a Tory-led administration; who knows what the Libs do...

My hunch is that the main change is that Labour voters are now broadly preferencing the Tories while in 2012 they definitely weren't - they probably didn't go anywhere very strongly then; I don't have any data though.   That would explain why they've lost councillors despite an (apparent) increase in first preference votes from 2012.

[Clyde1998]

So despite all the hype SNP lost seats???

They actually have six more seats than they won in 2012, but I think boundary changes means that they have a net loss of seven.

[jaichind]

It is also interesting that LIB lost seats in all three regions (England, Scotland, Wales)

[Clyde1998]

The Guardian reckons the SNP are up 31

[Bono]

Falkirk (NOC Hold):

SNP 12 (-1)
Labour 9 (-4)
Conservative 7 (+6)
Independent 2 (-1)

East Renfrewshire (NOC Hold):

Conservative 7    (+2)
SNP 5 (−1)
Labour 4 (-2)
Independent 2 (+1)

East Dunbartonshire (NOC Hold):
SNP 7 (=)
Liberal Democrat 6 (+3)
Conservative 6 (+4)
Labour 2 (-5)
Independent 1 (-2)


Good libdem performance in East Dunbartonshire for some reason.

[Clyde1998]

Good libdem performance in East Dunbartonshire for some reason.

The Lib Dems are historically good in East Dunbartonshire. I'm not sure why though.

[Bono]

Conwy (NOC Hold):

Independent 21 (+2)
Conservative 16 (+3)
Plaid Cymru 10 (-2)
Labour 8 (-2)
Liberal Democrat 4 (-1)

Caerphilly (LAB hold):

Labour 50 (=)
Plaid Cymru 18 (-2)
Independent 5 (+2)

Rhondda Cynon Taf (LAB hold):

Labour 47 (-13)
Plaid Cymru 18 (+9)
Independent 5 (+1)
Conservative 4 (+3)
Liberal Democrat 1 (=)

Why are these Welsh councils so large?

[Diouf]

It is also interesting that LIB lost seats in all three regions (England, Scotland, Wales)

Despite a quite marked increase to a projected national share of 18%, but hurt by the even larger conservative increase many places. A pattern that could easily be repeated in the GE.

[Bono]

Highland (NOC Hold):

Independent 28 (-5)
SNP 22 (+3)
Liberal Democrat 10 (-4)
Conservative 10 (+10)
Labour 3 (-5)
Green 1 (+1)

LibDem decline in the Highlands continues apace, and impressive Tory breakthrough.


Moray (NOC hold):

SNP 9 (-1)
Independent 8 (-2)
Conservative 8 (+5)
Labour 1 (-2)

Interesting result in this most pro-Brexit of Scottish councils.

North Lanarkshire (NOC Hold):

SNP 33 (+3)
Labour 32 (-12)
Conservative 10   (+10)
Independent 2 (-1)

Another impressive Tory breakthrough.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

All council results are in from England, Wales, and Scotland now. Still awaiting Mayoral results from Cambridgeshire & Peterborough, though

[Bono]

County Durham (LAB hold):

Labour 74 (-20)
Independent 28 (+9)
Liberal Democrat 14 (+5)
Conservative 10 (+6)

Kinda lame Tory performance here considering.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

James Palmer wins  Cambridgeshire & Peterborough Mayoral Election, Tory gain