Arizona and Georgia

[Gracile]

It's funny because Arizona was viewed as a Lean D state throughout much of the cycle, while Georgia was seen as a much tougher lift. In the end, they voted less than a tenth of a percent apart. Also, North Carolina is probably Florida's biggest rival in the category of overhyped, stubborn swing states (which is especially odd considering this thread was made after Arizona voted to left of North Carolina in 2016).

[Typhoon2000]

SPOILER ALERT: It happened

[Non Swing Voter]

If you are just looking at the situation in terms of raw numbers it's not surprising that Georgia is shifting quicker than Arizona.  Phoenix and Atlanta are both growing rapidly but in Arizona most of the state is growing in population whereas in Georgia a lot of rural counties are in steep decline.  Georgia seems to be the next Virginia.