OH: More Money Stuff (August)

[BuckeyeNut]

Businesssmam Neil Patel of Westerville is going to challenge Rob Richardson in the Democratic primary for Treasurer. I think this is  same Neil Patel who challenged Senator Kris Jordan in 2010 and 2014. If it is, he may not be awful, since he went from getting 30% of the vote in 2010 to getting 40% in 2014, which was a much worse year in Ohio.

On paper, Richardson and Patel are equally qualified — one is a failed Myoral candidate, the other a failed candidate for the State Senate — but Richardson appears to be better for a few reasons.

1: He’s probably the only Black candidate on the slate, since only Kucinich chose a Black running mate.
2: He’s probably the only southwestern candidate, since it’s exceedingly unlikely Pillich wins the primary.
3: He’s got a strong statewide network with labor organizations, which will be of real value since Republicans are pushing Right to Work again.
4: He was recruited by ODP Chair David Pepper, and seems well tapped into Pepper’s donor network, which is one of Pepper’s admittedly few strengths.

I’ve also seen Richardson in person at this point, and he’s a very vibrant and engaging speaker.

Patel is awful (not a bad guy, just hopeless as a candidate).

40% in OH-19 in 2014 strikes me as fairly impressive. He could probably win a State House seat. Though that said, he'd be running in Leland's, and you'd have to be a walking nuke to lose that seat as a Democrat.

[Usili]

So fundraising numbers are coming out, and I'll head on and share 'em in here via twitter:

For Cordray:

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For DeWine:

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For Dettelbach and Yost:

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[BuckeyeNut]

Every Dem on the down ticket slate out raised their GE opponents. very good. Plus, Cordray’s haul is bigger than DeWine’s in much less time. I might move this from Lean R to Tossup.

[henster]

Mystery Dem candidate put in $1.5M of his money for a possible campaign.

http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2018/02/possible_mystery_candidate_for.html

[BuckeyeNut]

Mystery Dem candidate put in $1.5M of his money for a possible campaign.

http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2018/02/possible_mystery_candidate_for.html

And he’ll stay a mystery, if Pepper doesn’t even know who he is. We’ll see if he gets his petitions in.

[Usili]

In thinking about the uh, spending side of Cordray's campaign...

How the hell has he only spent $1,200 on it?

[Rjjr77]

Mystery Dem candidate put in $1.5M of his money for a possible campaign.

http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2018/02/possible_mystery_candidate_for.html

Hes not really a mystery I've heard of the guy, hes a medical entrepreneur, doctor and not really a nobody. Has a lot of money and a helluva education. 

[Rjjr77]

In thinking about the uh, spending side of Cordray's campaign...

How the hell has he only spent $1,200 on it?

He definitely didnt do ANY political activity while at the CFPB (Heavy sarcasm)

[BuckeyeNut]

Mystery Dem candidate put in $1.5M of his money for a possible campaign.

http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2018/02/possible_mystery_candidate_for.html

Hes not really a mystery I've heard of the guy, hes a medical entrepreneur, doctor and not really a nobody. Has a lot of money and a helluva education.  

Doubt he gains any traction. Dems in Illinois might entertain a self-funding Governor, but Ohio ones won’t.

[Rjjr77]

Mystery Dem candidate put in $1.5M of his money for a possible campaign.

http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2018/02/possible_mystery_candidate_for.html

Hes not really a mystery I've heard of the guy, hes a medical entrepreneur, doctor and not really a nobody. Has a lot of money and a helluva education.  

Doubt he gains any traction. Dems in Illinois might entertain a self-funding Governor, but Ohio ones won’t.

I agree, but hes not a joke.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Mystery Dem candidate put in $1.5M of his money for a possible campaign.

http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2018/02/possible_mystery_candidate_for.html

Hes not really a mystery I've heard of the guy, hes a medical entrepreneur, doctor and not really a nobody. Has a lot of money and a helluva education.  

Doubt he gains any traction. Dems in Illinois might entertain a self-funding Governor, but Ohio ones won’t.

I agree, but hes not a joke.

Never heard of him

[BuckeyeNut]

As much as I dislike Kucinich on a personal level, I do like his policy proposals. Some things he’s come up with: banning fracking, making poltical donations from charter school operators illegal, implementing home rule for school boards and allowing them to vote on whether or not charters school should even be allowed locally.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

As much as I dislike Kucinich on a personal level, I do like his policy proposals. Some things he’s come up with: banning fracking, making poltical donations from charter school operators illegal, implementing home rule for school boards and allowing them to vote on whether or not charters school should even be allowed locally.

Is he still running as a Trumpist?

[Rjjr77]

As much as I dislike Kucinich on a personal level, I do like his policy proposals. Some things he’s come up with: banning fracking, making poltical donations from charter school operators illegal, implementing home rule for school boards and allowing them to vote on whether or not charters school should even be allowed locally.

I don't believe school boards should have a say in charter schools, the conflict of interest is ridiculous there, but I wouldn't be opposed to voters voting on charter schools. Charter schools work if done correctly, they just haven't been done correctly in every part of Ohio

[Badger]

Klein's definitely a rising star, and he'll be back. I know some people are mad that Pfeiffer's right-hand man, who was going to run for City Attorney when Pfeiffer stepped down was basically pushed aside. I forget his name right now, but Klein's liable to run for County Prosecutor again in 2020, so hopefully, this other guy can make a comeback.

And yeah, no doubt, Stinziano's favored, especially in this environment, but Democrats haven't won the Franklin County Auditor's office since 1974! Still, I'm taking nothing for granted.

Bill Hedrick?

[BuckeyeNut]

Klein's definitely a rising star, and he'll be back. I know some people are mad that Pfeiffer's right-hand man, who was going to run for City Attorney when Pfeiffer stepped down was basically pushed aside. I forget his name right now, but Klein's liable to run for County Prosecutor again in 2020, so hopefully, this other guy can make a comeback.

And yeah, no doubt, Stinziano's favored, especially in this environment, but Democrats haven't won the Franklin County Auditor's office since 1974! Still, I'm taking nothing for granted.

Bill Hedrick?

Yeah, I guess.

Though I've heard Klein likely won't run for County Prosecutor in 2020, but AG in 2026. Which kind of makes sense. He'd be at risk of tarnishing his stardom. But damn, I'd love to have Franklin County Prosecutor, and I don't think O'Brien retires in 2020 unless he's in for another very close election, and IDK who we'd run against him.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Klein's definitely a rising star, and he'll be back. I know some people are mad that Pfeiffer's right-hand man, who was going to run for City Attorney when Pfeiffer stepped down was basically pushed aside. I forget his name right now, but Klein's liable to run for County Prosecutor again in 2020, so hopefully, this other guy can make a comeback.

And yeah, no doubt, Stinziano's favored, especially in this environment, but Democrats haven't won the Franklin County Auditor's office since 1974! Still, I'm taking nothing for granted.

Bill Hedrick?

Yeah, I guess.

Though I've heard Klein likely won't run for County Prosecutor in 2020, but AG in 2026. Which kind of makes sense. He'd be at risk of tarnishing his stardom. But damn, I'd love to have Franklin County Prosecutor, and I don't think O'Brien retires in 2020 unless he's in for another very close election, and IDK who we'd run against him.

Man, I f***ing hate Ron O'Brien's guts so much.  I think I was almost as upset about him winning re-election as Trump being elected.

[BuckeyeNut]

Good article on Nina Turner's political future in Ohio -- if she has one. I for one didn't know she was a large part of reforming Cuyahoga County's government structure but still think she's burned too many bridges to successfully run for Cleveland Mayor in 2021. We'll see, though.

[Badger]

Klein's definitely a rising star, and he'll be back. I know some people are mad that Pfeiffer's right-hand man, who was going to run for City Attorney when Pfeiffer stepped down was basically pushed aside. I forget his name right now, but Klein's liable to run for County Prosecutor again in 2020, so hopefully, this other guy can make a comeback.

And yeah, no doubt, Stinziano's favored, especially in this environment, but Democrats haven't won the Franklin County Auditor's office since 1974! Still, I'm taking nothing for granted.

Bill Hedrick?

Yeah, I guess.

Though I've heard Klein likely won't run for County Prosecutor in 2020, but AG in 2026. Which kind of makes sense. He'd be at risk of tarnishing his stardom. But damn, I'd love to have Franklin County Prosecutor, and I don't think O'Brien retires in 2020 unless he's in for another very close election, and IDK who we'd run against him.

That's interesting, but I have a hard time believing O'Brien is going to risk another tough race when he knows Franklin County falls further out of the Republican orbit every year, and after Klein serves a term as City Prosecutor O'Brien can't go after him as "Zero experience Zach". I strongly suspect he'll see the writing on the wall and go out on top, leaving the office wide open to Klein, and for Bill Hedrick to become the City's (maybe the state's?) first gay Law Director.

Franklin County Prosecutor is probably a better stepping stone to the AG's office than Columbus City Prosecutor anyway, and he's assuming there won't be a Democratic incumbent AG in 26, so he better take what he can while he can, IMHO.

[BuckeyeNut]

Klein's definitely a rising star, and he'll be back. I know some people are mad that Pfeiffer's right-hand man, who was going to run for City Attorney when Pfeiffer stepped down was basically pushed aside. I forget his name right now, but Klein's liable to run for County Prosecutor again in 2020, so hopefully, this other guy can make a comeback.

And yeah, no doubt, Stinziano's favored, especially in this environment, but Democrats haven't won the Franklin County Auditor's office since 1974! Still, I'm taking nothing for granted.

Bill Hedrick?

Yeah, I guess.

Though I've heard Klein likely won't run for County Prosecutor in 2020, but AG in 2026. Which kind of makes sense. He'd be at risk of tarnishing his stardom. But damn, I'd love to have Franklin County Prosecutor, and I don't think O'Brien retires in 2020 unless he's in for another very close election, and IDK who we'd run against him.

That's interesting, but I have a hard time believing O'Brien is going to risk another tough race when he knows Franklin County falls further out of the Republican orbit every year, and after Klein serves a term as City Prosecutor O'Brien can't go after him as "Zero experience Zach". I strongly suspect he'll see the writing on the wall and go out on top, leaving the office wide open to Klein, and for Bill Hedrick to become the City's (maybe the state's?) first gay Law Director.

Franklin County Prosecutor is probably a better stepping stone to the AG's office than Columbus City Prosecutor anyway, and he's assuming there won't be a Democratic incumbent AG in 26, so he better take what he can while he can, IMHO.

Generally, I agree with your assessment — FCP is a much better launching pad than CCA and O’Brien’s in for a tough race come 2020 — but a counterpoint, if I may.

Thanks to the fact that the Ohio General Assembly is under the FCP’s jurisdiction, the office has significantly more power than any other county office in the state. If Democrats take back the Governor’s mansion and the row offices, and make significant gains in the state house, I would expect FCRP to really sink it’s teeth into holding the FCP. At this point in time, it looks like Clarence Minho will run for re-election this year, and given Franklin County’s trend, I would expect that race to be triaged when it is next up. Correspondingly, the idea that Republicans are more disciplined with their finances is going out the window. Not so with the idea they’re tough on crime, and that’s what people want, especially in the suburbs. And not just Hilliard and Dublin, Upper Arlington and even Bexley, too. If Klein does run for FCP in 2020, he risks coming across as a massive careerist — a label most Columbus politicians struggle with — and the slight chance of another loss, which really would dampen his star.

I do think it’s a safe enough bet there won’t be an incumbent Democratic AG in 2026. If Dettelbach wins this year, he either wins re-elect in 2022 or doesn’t. Either way, that leaves a Democratic opening for Klein. (Though of Dettelbach is a two term AG, we almost certainly keep the office in 2026.)

[BuckeyeNut]

The ORP has endorsed Mike DeWine in the governor’s race after Mary Taylor begged them to make no endorsement. Now, she is saying she won’t support DeWine should — AKA: when — he win(s) the primary.

[libertpaulian]

The ORP has endorsed Mike DeWine in the governor’s race after Mary Taylor begged them to make no endorsement. Now, she is saying she won’t support DeWine should — AKA: when — he win(s) the primary.

What does she have against DeWine?

[Karpatsky]

The ORP has endorsed Mike DeWine in the governor’s race after Mary Taylor begged them to make no endorsement. Now, she is saying she won’t support DeWine should — AKA: when — he win(s) the primary.

What does she have against DeWine?

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[Former Kentuckian]

The ORP has endorsed Mike DeWine in the governor’s race after Mary Taylor begged them to make no endorsement. Now, she is saying she won’t support DeWine should — AKA: when — he win(s) the primary.

What does she have against DeWine?

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Funny she's knocking them as career politicians considering she was elected to Green City Council in 2001, Ohio House of Representatives in 2003, Auditor of Ohio in 2007, and Lieutenant Governor of Ohio in 2011 and is now running for Governor.

[BuckeyeNut]

The ORP has endorsed Mike DeWine in the governor’s race after Mary Taylor begged them to make no endorsement. Now, she is saying she won’t support DeWine should — AKA: when — he win(s) the primary.

What does she have against DeWine?

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Funny she's knocking them as career politicians considering she was elected to Green City Council in 2001, Ohio House of Representatives in 2003, Auditor of Ohio in 2007, and Lieutenant Governor of Ohio in 2011 and is now running for Governor.

It’s somewhat ironic, but you have to remember Mike DeWine has been being for office of some kind for the past five decades — almost longer than Husted has even been alive — so it’s not completely hypocritical.