Cross-Election Swing
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  Cross-Election Swing
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Author Topic: Cross-Election Swing  (Read 1322 times)
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darthebearnc
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« on: November 26, 2016, 06:26:32 PM »
« edited: December 04, 2016, 08:06:59 PM by ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ »

Here is a map showing each state's swing from 2000 to 2016:



If anyone would like to make maps for other pairs of elections, that would be cool.
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BSH
buck_stops_here
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2016, 07:03:50 PM »

Any idea why NE and MT swung dem? Johnson/Weld support or something else?
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TDAS04
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« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2016, 07:20:38 PM »

Any idea why NE and MT swung dem? Johnson/Weld support or something else?

Omaha has become more liberal, and Nader did well Montana.
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15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #3 on: November 27, 2016, 09:36:51 PM »

2008 and 2016 would be interesting
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AGA
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« Reply #4 on: November 28, 2016, 07:10:49 PM »


Here it is.

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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #5 on: November 28, 2016, 07:26:17 PM »

2004-2016

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libertpaulian
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« Reply #6 on: November 29, 2016, 07:52:16 PM »

I'd like to see 1992 to 2016, considering that's when the most recent pre-2016 major realignment happened.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2016, 06:32:50 PM »

bump
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AGA
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« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2016, 11:43:02 PM »

I'd like to see 1992 to 2016, considering that's when the most recent pre-2016 major realignment happened.


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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: December 04, 2016, 03:43:46 PM »

Reposting this from my other thread:

2000-2016 Trend map



States with the strongest Democratic trends

1. Utah (Trend: 21.1% D)
2. California (Trend: 16.9% D)
3. Vermont (Trend: 15% D)
4. Alaska (Trend: 14.6% D)
5. Hawaii (Trend: 12.4% D)
6./7. Virginia (Trend: 11.8% D) and Colorado (Trend: 11.8% D)
8. Texas (Trend: 10.8% D)
9. DC (Trend: 9.1% D)
10. Oregon (Trend: 8.9% D)
11. Washington (Trend: 8.7% D)

States with the strongest Republican trends

1. West Virginia (Trend: 37.4% R)
2. Tennessee (Trend: 23.8% R)
3. Arkansas (Trend: 23% R)
4. Missouri (Trend: 16.8% R)
5. Kentucky (Trend: 16.2% R)
6. Oklahoma (Trend: 16% R)
7. Rhode Island (Trend: 15.1% R)
8. Alabama (Trend: 14.3% R)
9. Louisiana (Trend: 13.7% R)
10. Iowa (Trend: 11.2% R)

States with the smallest trends

1. South Carolina (Trend: 0.1% D)
2. New Hampshire (Trend: 0.2% D)
3./4. Arizona (Trend: 1.3% D)/Kansas (Trend: 1.3% R)
5. Massachusetts (Trend: 1.6% R)
6. Nebraska (Trend: 1.9% D)
7./8. Wisconsin (Trend: 2.4% R)/Minnesota (Trend: 2.4% R)
9./10. Florida (Trend: 2.7% R)/Mississippi (Trend: 2.7% R)
11. Montana (Trend: 3% D)
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hopper
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« Reply #10 on: December 04, 2016, 08:01:19 PM »

I wonder which trend map is more relevant for 2020: 2004-2016 or 2000-2016 because of Third Party Candidates like Ralph Nader getting 3% of the national vote in 2000 and Gary Johnson getting 3% of the national vote in 2016.
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