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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virgini)
  New SurveyUSA Governors approval polls - July
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Author Topic: New SurveyUSA Governors approval polls - July  (Read 4664 times)
Sam Spade
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« on: July 12, 2005, 09:02:49 pm »

A continuation in July of SurveyUSA's May and June Governor approval polls, among 600 adults from each state's population.

The Vorlon's the one who can tell you what all that means.  Smiley

Not many changes that really stand out to me in terms of a trendline between the three months, except for Tim Pawlenty's steady slide in approval in Minnesota from 54%-38% in May to 43%-50% in July and I'd still want another month of stability at these numbers or further downward movement to make sure of this motion.

http://www.surveyusa.com/50StateGovTrackingJuly2005.htm

For all the curious people out there who can't wait to click on the link:

Jodi Rell (R-CT) is now tied as the top-rated governor with Mike Rounds (R-SD) at 73% approval, 18% disapproval.

The two highest-rated Democrats are Joe Manchin (WV) and Mark Warner (VA) with 65% approval, 25% disapproval and 63% approval, 25% approval, respectively.

The bottom governor is still Bob Taft (R-OH) with 17% approval, 76% disapproval.

The lowest-rated Democrat governor is Jennifer Granholm, with 37% approval and 59% disapproval.

Seven governors ratings stayed the same from June to July.  They are:

Mike Huckabee (R-AR) - 56% approve, 38% disapprove
Robert Ehrlich (R-MD) - 48% approve, 45% disapprove
Ed Rendell (D-PA) - 44% approve, 49% disapprove
Ruth Ann Minner (D-DE) - 43% approve, 49% disapprove
Ted Kulongoski (D-OR) - 38% approve, 50% disapprove
Rod Blagojevich (D-IL) - 38% approve, 55% disapprove
Matt Blunt (R-MO) - 35% approve, 61% disapprove
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Sarnstrom
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2005, 09:04:52 pm »

California
Approve: 36% Disapprove: 61%

Poor, Arnold.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #2 on: July 12, 2005, 09:12:03 pm »

Not many changes that really stand out to me in terms of a trendline between the three months, except for Tim Pawlenty's steady slide in approval in Minnesota from 54%-38% in May to 43%-50% in July and I'd still want another month of stability at these numbers or further downward movement to make sure of this motion.

No surprise there.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #3 on: July 12, 2005, 09:27:22 pm »

Democrats need pickups in New York, California, Massachusetts, and Maryland (all solid blue states) in 2006.

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nick
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« Reply #4 on: July 12, 2005, 09:42:54 pm »

I really wish Warner could run for re-election...
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MHS2002
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« Reply #5 on: July 12, 2005, 09:51:13 pm »

I really wish Warner could run for re-election...

He'd beat Kilgore, that's for sure.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #6 on: July 12, 2005, 09:56:27 pm »

I really wish Warner could run for re-election...

I'm with you.
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nick
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« Reply #7 on: July 12, 2005, 10:08:38 pm »
« Edited: July 12, 2005, 10:10:19 pm by nickshepDEM »


How big is the question?  Close race (5% or less)? Or total blowout (10% plus)?
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MHS2002
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« Reply #8 on: July 12, 2005, 10:17:31 pm »


How big is the question?  Close race (5% or less)? Or total blowout (10% plus)?

Given the political makeup of Virginia, it wouldn't be a blowout, but it would be a decent-sized victory (6-8 points IMO). Of course, if Warner could run for reelection, the Republicans would put up a semi-punching bag candidate anyway.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #9 on: July 12, 2005, 10:21:04 pm »

44% approve while 49% disapprove of Rendell. (same as June numbers). I have stated in the past, though, that these frequent SurveyUSA polls don't seem to be all that accurate. Regardless, a number of polls have made obvious Eddie's falling approval ratings which make me happy to say the least. The celebrity factor was big in '02 for Rendell. 2006 will bring a change.
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DanielX
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« Reply #10 on: July 12, 2005, 10:31:19 pm »

It seems like everyone just loves Rell, Rounds, and Hoeven. Too bad none of them are likely Presidential candidates...

on the flip side, a lot of people just hate Taft, Murkwoski, Blunt, and Fletcher.

Oddly enough, Republicans fill both the very top and very bottom. 6 of the top 10 are Republican, and 6 of the bottom 10 are Republican.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #11 on: July 12, 2005, 10:36:16 pm »

It seems like everyone just loves Rell, Rounds, and Hoeven. Too bad none of them are likely Presidential candidates...

Hoeven might run for Senate though.   Smiley
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Platypus
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« Reply #12 on: July 13, 2005, 02:01:44 am »

It seems like everyone just loves Rell, Rounds, and Hoeven. Too bad none of them are likely Presidential candidates...

on the flip side, a lot of people just hate Taft, Murkwoski, Blunt, and Fletcher.

Oddly enough, Republicans fill both the very top and very bottom. 6 of the top 10 are Republican, and 6 of the bottom 10 are Republican.

Republicans are often motre polarising, especially in states that swing both ways.
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Defarge
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« Reply #13 on: July 13, 2005, 05:55:05 am »

Why is Granholm so unpopular?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #14 on: July 13, 2005, 06:28:55 am »


Bad economy=who ever is in power being unpopular
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AuH2O
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« Reply #15 on: July 13, 2005, 10:04:19 am »

Actually I think there are structural factors influencing the results of these polls, as I've said before. People in some states just like their politicians more, not to mention to obvious external factors.

Rounds, by the way, will hopefully relieve Tim Johnson of his Senate seat at the next opportunity.
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MissCatholic
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« Reply #16 on: July 13, 2005, 11:10:41 am »

Actually I think there are structural factors influencing the results of these polls, as I've said before. People in some states just like their politicians more, not to mention to obvious external factors.

Rounds, by the way, will hopefully relieve Tim Johnson of his Senate seat at the next opportunity.

And pigs fly in Virginia!
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jfern
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« Reply #17 on: July 13, 2005, 11:23:28 am »
« Edited: July 13, 2005, 11:26:29 am by jfern »

Good news for Democrats.

Governors mentioned as 2008 possiblities

Democrats:
Schweitzer MT 58-31
Richardson NM 53-41
Warner VA 63-25

Republicans:
Owens CO 50-41
Bush FL 52-44
Pawlenty MN 43-50
Sanford SC 50-39


Warner/Schwietzer 2008!
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jfern
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« Reply #18 on: July 13, 2005, 11:24:16 am »

Are Taft's 17-76 ratings some sort of record?
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jfern
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« Reply #19 on: July 13, 2005, 11:25:58 am »

Wow, now Pataki is more popular than Arnold. Of course Arnold has a kicking 36-61 rating. Only Taft has a higher disapproval rating than Arnold.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #20 on: July 13, 2005, 11:26:29 am »

It would be sweet to knock off Pawlenty in 2006.
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AuH2O
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« Reply #21 on: July 13, 2005, 11:28:47 am »

It would be sweet to knock off Pawlenty in 2006.

It would be sweet if someone gave me a 645i convertible, but that's not going to happen either.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #22 on: July 13, 2005, 11:37:59 am »

It would be sweet to knock off Pawlenty in 2006.

It would be sweet if someone gave me a 645i convertible, but that's not going to happen either.

Mike Hatch
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AuH2O
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« Reply #23 on: July 13, 2005, 11:43:19 am »

It would be sweet to knock off Pawlenty in 2006.

It would be sweet if someone gave me a 645i convertible, but that's not going to happen either.

Mike Hatch

He'll give me one? Well tell him I'd like it silver gray metallic with the dakota leather package and the premium sound system.
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jfern
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« Reply #24 on: July 13, 2005, 11:45:08 am »

If you look at the breakdowns, there's some weird stuff. Pataki, a Republican from upstate NY, is more popular in NYC (just the 5 bouroughs) than in upstate NY.
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