Interesting results from your state

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

San Benito used to be a bellwether county for California, but Hillary only won it by 21, versus 29 for statewide. Alpine, Mono, and Orange have a long history of voting together for the Republican, and this year they voted together for the Democrat. Most California counties swung Democrat, but the northeastern part of the state swung Republican. Back when California was much less Democratic 50 years ago, Lassen was a reasonably Democratic county, but Trump broke 70% there.

San Benito has basically stayed the same while the state as a whole has moved to the left. That's been happening for a few years now. Santa Barbara looks like the bellwether now in a number of cases, but the it looks like the true bellwether of California might now be Solano County. It's bad news if the bellwether is Santa Barbara. It's deadly for the Republican Party if the bellwether is now in the Bay Area.

If you look at the map right now, assuming Democrats take SD-29, it looks like a pretty durable supermajority that will last through the midterm (when Republicans did better than expected in 2014). Democrats could expand the majority to a 30-10 if everything went well, not to mention perhaps expanding the supermajority in the Assembly as well. If Democrats get a supermajority in the Senate now, there's no way they'll lose it in two years. It'd be a matter of keeping the Assembly.

I remember that in 2012, Nate Silver sugeested that Santa Barbara was the bellweather for CA. I disagreed at the time (I would've said San Benito), but it appears that he's right (for now).

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

NC-GOV: Mecklenburg swung 15 points to Cooper.

[BaldEagle1991]

Fort Bend County going for Hillary

[nclib]

NC-GOV: Mecklenburg swung 15 points to Cooper.

HB2, of course. This margin was enough to make the difference assuming McCrory eventually concedes.

[BaldEagle1991]

NC-GOV: Mecklenburg swung 15 points to Cooper.

HB2, of course. This margin was enough to make the difference assuming McCrory eventually concedes.

Well I think the business people in Charlotte are pissed he's the reason there's no NBA All Star Game there.

[Pennsylvania Deplorable]

Luzerne county, PA (Wilkes-Barre) had come closer to matching the statewide results than any other county over the last four elections. That changed dramatically this year. It went from voting for Obama by 5% in 2012 to voting for Trump by 20%. Trump also won Erie county by 2%. Romney had lost there by 17%. Romney won Schuylkill county by 13% and Trump ended up winning it by 43%. Almost every county in PA swung towards Trump except for the southeast corner.

Interestingly, his victory came in spite of increased turnout in Philadelphia, where Clinton actually got 3,000 more votes than Obama and Trump got 13,000 more than Romney.

[Calthrina950]

In hindsight, it's surprising that Clinton held Alamosa County (albeit narrowly), which flipped to Trump last year, despite narrowly losing Pueblo County (which Biden gained back). And Clinton getting a majority in Arapahoe County, which is now the most Democratic of the Denver suburbs, was the prelude to Biden breaking 60% there last year. Moreover, Trump's decline in Douglas and El Paso Counties compared to Romney should have been a warning sign for Republicans.

[GregTheGreat657]

My home county trended 23 points to the right (from Romney + 8 to Trump + 33)

[Schiff for Senate]

Orange County went blue for the first time in 80 years.