MT-SEN 2018: #Populism wins, #ShrillNeoliberalism loses

[IceSpear]

Tester is running an ad about how Maryland Matt is a fake #populist

https://youtu.be/jk7HMKlHCgA

Absolutely devastating ad. Is there a rating higher than Titanium D?

Wow, I love the "Moo" sound at the end, though it doesn’t quite outdo this:

https://youtu.be/Rxn9mQffVg8
https://youtu.be/EZt6PzOQ_KQ

Glad Cramer and Tester both like cattle So much #populism

Those ads made me literally LMAO. The fact that the cow had an encore was hilarious.

[Bidenworth2020]

he needs to campaign for other Dems and stop padding his margin to Baucus 08 level, seriously.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

The last poll I seen had him only up +2

It is probably a good idea for him to focus on his race.

[Pericles]

Is this a joke?

[Xing]

I know, right? Heller ought to campaign for other Republican candidates as well, instead of trying to crack 90% against joke candidate Rosen.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Actually, Tester's campaigning is the only reason Dino Rossi is held down to less than 60% of the vote

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Actually, Tester's campaigning is the only reason Dino Rossi is held down to less than 60% of the vote

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Actually, Tester's campaigning is the only reason Dino Rossi is held down to less than 60% of the vote

Jon Tester's retail campaigning prowess is so powerful - matched perhaps only by Heidi Heitkamp's - that not only does it have a powerful effect on neighboring states such as Idaho, but even exerts a measurable 2nd order force that flows across the borders of states that neighbor neighboring states. Case in point, the force is exerted from MT in to ID, and then through all the way to WA-08.

Incidentally, this is one reason why Tester and Heitkamp are both likely to win re-election, because their retail campaigning mutual supports each other across state lines in this way.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Actually, Tester's campaigning is the only reason Dino Rossi is held down to less than 60% of the vote

Jon Tester's retail campaigning prowess is so powerful - matched perhaps only by Heidi Heitkamp's - that not only does it have a powerful effect on neighboring states such as Idaho, but even exerts a measurable 2nd order force that flows across the borders of states that neighbor neighboring states. Case in point, the force is exerted from MT in to ID, and then through all the way to WA-08.

Incidentally, this is one reason why Tester and Heitkamp are both likely to win re-election, because their retail campaigning mutual supports each other across state lines in this way.

This is some quality sh**t posting, I entirely approve.

[Reaganfan]

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/09/18/dem-sen-tester-campaigns-on-love-hunting-hasnt-had-license-in-6-years.html

Tester taking heat for claiming to love hunting in new ad, but hasn't had a hunting license for six years. Trivial, but in a Montana electorate, it could be another hit piece.

[GeorgiaModerate]

How do the good people of Montana feel about corruption?

https://montanafreepress.org/2018/09/25/state-auditor-drops-fines-against-top-campaign-donor/

[MT Treasurer]

Your daily dose of #populism :

https://www.c-span.org/video/?452053-1/montana-us-senate-debate

I watched the entire thing, actually. Boy, Tester's facial expressions... all I can say is relax and take your time.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Your daily dose of #populism :

https://www.c-span.org/video/?452053-1/montana-us-senate-debate

I watched the entire thing, actually. Boy, Tester's facial expressions... all I can say is relax and take your time.

Who won?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I watched it and I think Rosendale did better.

[MT Treasurer]

Their second debate has been canceled, but MTN and YPR will try to reschedule it.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://helenair.com/news/government-and-politics/tester-rosendale-debate-canceled-in-light-of-kavanaugh-vote-in/article_faaffa58-a4b0-5627-949a-3aa3a7acec65.html

[MT Treasurer]

Posting this for election night since some may find it helpful (MT-AL 2017 is the most recent statewide election and the results haven’t been uploaded to Atlas). The most important/populous counties are in bold.

The last thing I want to dump in this thread are the margins for each county, ranked here from most R to most D. This may be useful if you want to follow another statewide or Senate race in the state in 2018 or 2020 on election night.

Garfield: R+84.81
Carter: R+73.04
Fallon: R+65.51
Petroleum: R+64.71
Powder River: R+61.34
Wibaux: R+60.8
Phillips: R+58.95                
McCone: R+57.89            
Musselshell: R+55.45
Prairie: R+55.13
Richland: R+51.09
Daniels: R+50.58
Golden Valley: R+48.86
Sweet Grass: R+43.34
Stillwater: R+42.06
Meagher: R+41.29
Treasure: R+40.36
Fergus: R+39.71
Dawson: R+39.4
Judith Basin: R+39.2
Broadwater: R+37.19
Wheatland: R+36.02
Lincoln: R+34.63      
Valley: R+34.45      
Toole: R+34.17                      
Sanders: R+34.06
Powell: R+33.85
Liberty: R+33.61
Beaverhead: R+30.46
Custer: R+28.5                  
Madison: R+27.26  
Granite: R+26.38
Teton: R+24.63
Pondera: R+24.48
Ravalli: R+24.27  
Chouteau: R+24.15
Mineral: R+24.1
Rosebud: R+21.08            
Jefferson: R+18.94
Flathead: R+18.86            
Yellowstone: R+18.35  
Sheridan: R+16.37
Carbon: R+12.33              
Lake: R+7.16        
Cascade: R+6.97    
-------------------------------------------------------          
Hill: D+0.64
Park: D+4.73
Roosevelt: D+5.48
Big Horn: D+7.36    
Blaine: D+7.8                              
Lewis and Clark: D+9.34
Gallatin: D+13.96              
Missoula: D+31.63    
Deer Lodge: D+33.64        
Glacier: D+33.91                
Silver Bow: D+34.19          

The county which voted closest to the statewide result (R+5.59) was Cascade and not Lake. Interestingly enough (though not that surprising), every county won by Gianforte was more Republican than the state as a whole.

[Gass3268]

Matt Rosendale in an interview with the conservative Washington Examiner opposes the federal mandates in Obamacare that force health insurance carriers to cover pre-existing medical conditions and prohibit lifetime caps on payouts.

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1054370375981809665

Not sure how smart this is.

[IceSpear]

Matt Rosendale in an interview with the conservative Washington Examiner opposes the federal mandates in Obamacare that force health insurance carriers to cover pre-existing medical conditions and prohibit lifetime caps on payouts.

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1054370375981809665

Not sure how smart this is.

I don't think ROSENdale has a strong enough haircut to survive this gaffe.

[MT Treasurer]

MT isn’t ND, and early voting numbers are basically meaningless at this point, but I’ll go out on a limb and say that this is not looking like a Tester +24 race.

[Bidenworth2020]

MT isn’t ND, and early voting numbers are basically meaningless at this point, but I’ll go out on a limb and say that this is not looking like a Tester +24 race.

your talking about petroleum right

[Xing]

MT isn’t ND, and early voting numbers are basically meaningless at this point, but I’ll go out on a limb and say that this is not looking like a Tester +24 race.

Right, because it's going to be a Tester +90 race.

[Roblox]

MT isn’t ND, and early voting numbers are basically meaningless at this point, but I’ll go out on a limb and say that this is not looking like a Tester +24 race.

Right, because it's going to be a Tester +90 race.

*+900.

[MT Treasurer]

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.

[2016]

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.

Here are Testers last two Elections

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/MT/S/01/

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/MT/senate/

Yet, Montana Polls claim Tester to win by 24. Ridiculous.

[KingSweden]

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.

Here are Testers last two Elections

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/MT/S/01/

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/MT/senate/

Yet, Montana Polls claim Tester to win by 24. Ridiculous.

That Montana poll was universally mocked