latest Betfair odds

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Michelle Obama, most overrated candidate ever?

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well I hope there's a much more sophisticated 538 forecast for the 2020 primaries.

Just update this article for maximum comedy.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/jim-webb-would-make-a-good-anti-clinton-in-2016/

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Quick Dem. nomination update: O'Rourke now over 10 and in 5th place:

Harris 23.1
Warren 14.7
Biden 11.1
Sanders 11.1
O’Rourke 10.5
Patrick 7.8
Gillibrand 6.6
Booker 5.9
Gabbard 5.9

Could someone, anyone please explain why anyone bidding on O'Rourke would be a good idea when he probably won't win his Senate race this year, and even if he did, he'd have to start running for President immediately.

It's just replacing the Michelle Obama and Oprah idiocy.

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Why's Bernie so low there? He's at 13 on Predict It.

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Why's Bernie so low there? He's at 13 on Predict It.

He's low on Betfair Exchange compared to the sites with prices set by bookies, but even there, he's not above an 11% chance on any of the bookie sites:

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020/democrat-candidate

8 -> 1 / (1+8) = 11% chance, while 16 -> 1 / (1 + 16) = 6% chance.

I guess the bookies just don't like him then.

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Why's Bernie so low there? He's at 13 on Predict It.

He's low on Betfair Exchange compared to the sites with prices set by bookies, but even there, he's not above an 11% chance on any of the bookie sites:

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020/democrat-candidate

8 -> 1 / (1+8) = 11% chance, while 16 -> 1 / (1 + 16) = 6% chance.

I guess the bookies just don't like him then.

Or people realize he is very unlikely to be the nominee, if he even runs.

Predict It traders don't seem to have "realized" this. Funny that someone with the name Bloomberg in their name doesn't like the free market of Predict It.

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Surprised Harris is still that much up. Since the debate, she didn't do that well. Hopefully Uncle Joe surges after the next debate.

The media will declare Harris the winner again.

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No way are Bernie's chances worse than someone not running (Hillary) or someone who has 0% of the blacks in their home state supporting them (Buttigieg). 

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LOL at Harris being behind Patrick.

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So Bernie + Biden are 75 in IA and 82 in NH, but somehow are  only 62 overall even though IA and NH are 2 of the whitest states and other candidates do much worse with non white voters?

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Such a fail for the identity politics people for the top 3 to be straight white men in their late 70s.

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What? Biden is a terrible candidate, but he's not completely bungling coronavirus, and so is favored.

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Winning Individual
Biden 51.2
Trump 48.8

That's a huge bump for Trump.

Do bettors really not like Harris that much?

They probably noticed how trash a candidate Biden is but forgot that Trump already destroyed his chances.