latest Betfair odds (user search)
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Author Topic: latest Betfair odds  (Read 58488 times)
Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,521
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« on: December 23, 2016, 04:10:53 PM »

Sanders is way too low.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2019, 08:42:10 PM »

So Gabbard was significantly ahead of Sanders on this thing like a month or so ago? I wish I had noticed that. We have some real mental giants using this thing.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2019, 12:12:04 PM »

lol - both Biden and Sanders are absurdly undervalued.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2019, 03:41:08 AM »

Warren is overvalued too. Her support is only slightly less lily white than Buttigieg's (at least in every poll other than Yougov).
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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2019, 01:19:49 PM »

Warren overtaking Biden is pretty ridiculous. I say this as someone who would greatly prefer Warren to Biden.
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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2019, 02:46:48 PM »

Warren is at 50 cents on predictit.

IMO, she’s the most likely person ATM to win the nom, but that is laughably high.

I'd actually say Biden is still most likely by a decent margin with Warren second and Sanders third. So yeah, that's absurd.
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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2019, 12:05:12 PM »

Sanders is absurdly low and I've just loaded up on him on PredictIt @9 cents.

You could have got him even lower than that during the health scare.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2019, 01:26:25 PM »

Biden and Sanders are still too low and Buttigieg is WAY too high but that's to expected at the moment.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #8 on: November 30, 2019, 06:08:58 PM »


Democrats
Biden 22.2
Buttigieg 20.5
Warren 16.8
Sanders 13.4
Bloomberg 8.1
Clinton 4.5
Yang 3.7
Klobuchar 1.9
Harris 1.7
M. Obama 1.7
Patrick 1.4
Gabbard 1.2
Booker 0.6


This could be easy money for all us. Biden is vastly underrated.  Buttigieg and Warren are about right. Sanders is slightly overrated. Bloomberg is overrated. Yang, Klobuchar, and Harris all have under 1% odds IMO but it's not impossible. The rest shouldn't even be on there!

Nah, Sanders is underrated and Buttigieg is way overrated. I do agree that Biden is very underrated.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #9 on: December 14, 2019, 09:03:46 AM »

Damn, that Clinton lead four years ago was nuts.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #10 on: December 14, 2019, 11:52:46 AM »

Why are they still including such people as Hilldog, when most important deadlines have already passed ? CA, TX, FL, GA, NC etc.

Brokered convention.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #11 on: December 14, 2019, 08:51:07 PM »

Why are they still including such people as Hilldog, when most important deadlines have already passed ? CA, TX, FL, GA, NC etc.

Brokered convention.

There is no such thing.

As if delegates there would pick Hilldog as a „compromise“ candidate, a woman who lost in disgrace to Donald Trump in the previous election ...

I don't see it happening either but theoretically it's possible and that's why she is still being included.
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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #12 on: December 27, 2019, 07:00:45 PM »

Somewhat realistic numbers, finally.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #13 on: December 27, 2019, 08:19:02 PM »


Nothing showing Bloomberg with a non-zero % chance is realistic.

Keyword: "Somewhat."
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #14 on: January 18, 2020, 04:20:21 PM »

Bye Liz!
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #15 on: January 18, 2020, 04:24:56 PM »

I do think Biden is underrated here at this point. PredictIt has him at 40 which looks better to me.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #16 on: January 21, 2020, 04:39:54 AM »

That junk Iowa poll from David Binder appears to have done a number on Bernie.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #17 on: August 01, 2020, 06:21:14 PM »

Harris is still overvalued.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,521
United States


« Reply #18 on: August 07, 2020, 01:02:50 AM »

I feel like it's probably going to be Rice.
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