Sanders narrowing the gap with Biden again. And Bloomberg retakes 3rd place, as Warren drops to what I think might be her lowest price since June (when she was in 5th place, behind Biden, Sanders, Buttigieg, and Harris).
Up: Sanders, Clinton
Down: Biden, Warren, Buttigieg
Democrats
Biden 32.9
Sanders 30.5
Bloomberg 11.9
Warren 10.5
Buttigieg 6.0
Clinton 4.0
Yang 2.6
Klobuchar 1.0
M. Obama 0.9
Gabbard 0.6
Republicans
Trump 91.7
Haley 3.6
Pence 3.4
Kasich 1.1
Four years ago today:
Democrats
Clinton 82.6
Sanders 17.4
Republicans
Trump 38.0
Rubio 32.9
Cruz 20.4
Bush 10.5
Christie 4.5
Kasich 0.5
Romney 0.5
Ryan 0.4
Carson 0.3
Paul 0.2
Eight years ago at about this time on Intrade:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3159553#msg3159553
Romney 88.7
Gingrich 5.2
Paul 3.2
Santorum 0.6
Perry 0.4
Twelve years ago at about this time on Intrade:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=50282.msg1398893#msg1398893
DEMOCRATS
Clinton 58.6
Obama 39.6
Edwards 1.7
Gore 1.0
Richardson 0.1
REPUBLICANS
McCain 39.4
Giuliani 19.7
Romney 19.0
Huckabee 13.0
Thompson 2.9
Paul 2.4
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.4
Bloomberg 0.2
Oh, and 16 years ago today was Iowa caucus eve, and the Iowa Electronic Markets still had Dean as a 51% probability favorite to win the nomination:
https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/pricehistory/pricehistory_SelectContract.cfm?market_ID=67
Dean 51.0
Clark 19.5
Kerry 15.4
Sanders has a very strong chance.
