latest Betfair odds

[Mr. Morden]

Post-NH update: Bloomberg closing the gap with Sanders, while Klobuchar moves up to 5th place, and Warren sinks down to 7th, which puts her behind both Klobuchar and Clinton.

Up: Bloomberg, Buttigieg, Klobuchar
Down: Sanders, Warren

Democrats
Sanders 35.6
Bloomberg 28.8
Buttigieg 15.4
Biden 7.5
Klobuchar 4.3
Clinton 3.2
Warren 1.4
M. Obama 0.6
Gabbard 0.3
Kerry 0.2

[Pick Up the Phone]

Clinton 3.2
Warren 1.4
M. Obama 0.6

LOL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Go Bernie

[Mr. Morden]

Bloomberg still surging, and now within striking distance of the lead.  Meanwhile, Buttigieg crashes, and is overtaken by Biden for 3rd place.

Up: Bloomberg, Biden
Down: Buttigieg, Klobuchar

Democrats
Sanders 35.9
Bloomberg 34.5
Biden 8.9
Buttigieg 8.4
Clinton 4.0
Klobuchar 2.7
Warren 1.4
M. Obama 0.7
Patrick 0.4
Brown 0.2
Garcetti 0.2
Kerry 0.2

Republicans
Trump 96.2
Pence 2.0
Haley 0.9

Four years ago today:

Democrats
Clinton 79.4
Sanders 18.6

Republicans
Trump 45.5
Rubio 25.4
Cruz 14.5
Bush 13.4
Kasich 3.4
Ryan 0.7
Romney 0.6
Carson 0.3

Eight years ago at about this time on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3195452#msg3195452

Romney 75.5
Santorum 17.0
Gingrich 3.4
Paul 2.3
J. Bush 1.9
Christie 1.0
Daniels 0.4
Ryan 0.4

[Mr. Morden]

Sanders now pulling away from Bloomberg….

Up: Sanders, Biden
Down: Bloomberg

Democrats
Sanders 39.6
Bloomberg 30.5
Biden 9.8
Buttigieg 8.4
Clinton 4.2
Klobuchar 2.9
Warren 0.9
M. Obama 0.6
Patrick 0.3
Steyer 0.2

Republicans
Trump 96.2
Pence 2.0
Rubio 1.7

Four years ago today:

Democrats
Clinton 80.6
Sanders 17.4

Republicans
Trump 47.2
Rubio 27.3
Cruz 12.8
Bush 11.4
Kasich 3.1
Ryan 0.6
Romney 0.5
Carson 0.2

Eight years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3198573#msg3198573

Romney 71.0
Santorum 16.5
Gingrich 4.1
Paul 2.7
J. Bush 1.6
Thune 1.0
Daniels 0.8
Christie 0.7
Ryan 0.4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Down with Biden, again

[LAKISYLVANIA]

lol

[LAKISYLVANIA]

I'm hoping on Biden doing terrible in NV than i'll bet on Biden to win SC. Have some 20 euro's left on a betting site.

[Mr. Morden]

Last update before the debate….Sanders has been expanding his lead, mostly at the expense of Biden and Buttigieg….

Up: Sanders
Down: Biden, Buttigieg, Bloomberg, Klobuchar

Democrats
Sanders 45.8
Bloomberg 29.6
Buttigieg 7.0
Biden 6.4
Clinton 3.4
Klobuchar 2.0
Warren 0.8
M. Obama 0.6
Patrick 0.5
Steyer 0.2
Brown 0.2

Four years ago today:

Democrats
Clinton 80.0
Sanders 18.3

Republicans
Trump 47.2
Rubio 31.0
Cruz 13.8
Bush 5.0
Kasich 3.4
Ryan 0.8
Romney 0.7
Carson 0.2

Eight years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3202369#msg3202369

Romney 70.3
Santorum 14.1
Gingrich 4.0
J. Bush 3.0
Paul 3.0
Daniels 1.2
Christie 0.9
Ryan 0.6
Palin 0.5

[AGA]

Last update before the debate….Sanders has been expanding his lead, mostly at the expense of Biden and Buttigieg….

Up: Sanders
Down: Biden, Buttigieg, Bloomberg, Klobuchar

Democrats
Sanders 45.8
Bloomberg 29.6
Buttigieg 7.0
Biden 6.4
Clinton 3.4
Klobuchar 2.0
Warren 0.8
M. Obama 0.6
Patrick 0.5
Steyer 0.2
Brown 0.2

LOL @ Clinton still being that high.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Last update before the debate….Sanders has been expanding his lead, mostly at the expense of Biden and Buttigieg….

Up: Sanders
Down: Biden, Buttigieg, Bloomberg, Klobuchar

Democrats
Sanders 45.8
Bloomberg 29.6
Buttigieg 7.0
Biden 6.4
Clinton 3.4
Klobuchar 2.0
Warren 0.8
M. Obama 0.6
Patrick 0.5
Steyer 0.2
Brown 0.2

LOL @ Clinton still being that high.

I guess some people are betting on her being a compromise candidate from a contested convention.  But I agree it's way too high.

[Mr. Morden]

Bloomberg’s taking a pounding, as Sanders inches closer to 50.  Meanwhile, Warren has risen from the dead, at least enough to move up past Klobuchar.

Up: Sanders, Buttigieg, Biden, Warren
Down: Bloomberg, Klobuchar

Sanders 48.0
Bloomberg 20.8
Buttigieg 9.8
Biden 8.9
Clinton 3.6
Warren 2.6
Klobuchar 1.1
M. Obama 0.6
Patrick 0.4
Steyer 0.3
Castro 0.3
Brown 0.2
Holder 0.2
Kerry 0.2

[Mr. Morden]

Sanders now being given a slightly greater than 50% chance of being the nominee….

Up: Sanders, Buttigieg
Down: Bloomberg, Biden, Clinton

Sanders 51.3
Bloomberg 18.9
Buttigieg 11.4
Biden 7.5
Clinton 2.7
Warren 2.6
Klobuchar 0.7
M. Obama 0.5
Abrams 0.4
Patrick 0.3
Steyer 0.2
Kerry 0.2
Brown 0.2
Harris 0.2
Gabbard 0.2
Holder 0.2
Castro 0.2

[Mr. Morden]

This’ll probably be my last update before the caucus starts….

Sanders 50.9
Bloomberg 19.6
Buttigieg 11.4
Biden 6.5
Clinton 3.0
Warren 2.4
Klobuchar 0.6
M. Obama 0.4
Patrick 0.3
Abrams 0.2
Steyer 0.2
Kerry 0.2
Gabbard 0.2

Four years ago today:

Democrats
Clinton 86.3
Sanders 13.8

Republicans
Trump 49.3
Rubio 46.3
Cruz 2.8
Kasich 2.6
Ryan 0.6
Romney 0.5
Carson 0.5

Eight years ago at about this point on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3207591#msg3207591

GOP nomination

Romney 78.9
Santorum 6.3
Gingrich 4.4
Paul 3.0
J. Bush 2.2
Christie 1.2
Daniels 0.8
Rubio 0.4

[Mr. Morden]

Post-Nevada update:

Up: Sanders, Bloomberg
Down: Buttigieg, Clinton, Warren

Sanders 53.3
Bloomberg 20.5
Buttigieg 8.1
Biden 6.5
Clinton 2.0
Warren 1.2
M. Obama 0.5
Klobuchar 0.3

[IceSpear]

Up: Sanders, Bloomberg

Clearly Bloomberg continuing to accrue 0 delegates in state after state is splended news for his chances!

[Mr. Morden]

Final pre-debate update shows Biden again passing Buttigieg for 3rd place:

Up: Bloomberg, Biden
Down: Sanders, Buttigieg

Sanders 51.3
Bloomberg 22.6
Biden 8.4
Buttigieg 6.5
Clinton 2.0
Warren 1.4
M. Obama 0.5
Klobuchar 0.3

[W]

Final pre-debate update shows Biden again passing Buttigieg for 3rd place:

Up: Bloomberg, Biden
Down: Sanders, Buttigieg

Sanders 51.3
Bloomberg 22.6
Biden 8.4
Buttigieg 6.5
Clinton 2.0
Warren 1.4
M. Obama 0.5
Klobuchar 0.3

If you're below a candidate who isn't even running (let alone two) you have no business in this race.

[Meclazine for Israel]

The Sanders-Trump show is going to be entertaining.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Bloomberg seems overvalued and Biden undervalued.

[Mr. Morden]

Post-debate update: Sanders drops back below 50….

Up: Bloomberg, Biden
Down: Sanders

Democrats
Sanders 46.7
Bloomberg 25.4
Biden 10.5
Buttigieg 6.2
Clinton 2.1
Warren 1.1
M. Obama 0.5
Klobuchar 0.2
Abrams 0.2
Brown 0.2
Holder 0.2
Patrick 0.2

Republicans
Trump 96.2
Pence 1.9
Rubio 1.7

Four years ago today:

Democrats
Clinton 87.7
Sanders 12.2

Republicans
Trump 70.9
Rubio 26.6
Cruz 2.4
Kasich 2.1
Ryan 0.7
Romney 0.5
Bush 0.4
Carson 0.2

[LAKISYLVANIA]

I did bet 20 euros on Biden winning SC.

[Mr. Morden]

Well, that initial post-debate drop for Sanders didn’t last long.  He’s now up to a slightly higher price than he was pre-debate.

Up: Sanders, Biden
Down: Bloomberg, Buttigieg

Dem. nomination
Sanders 52.6
Bloomberg 18.0
Biden 13.1
Buttigieg 5.1
Clinton 2.0
Warren 1.1
M. Obama 0.5
Brown 0.2
Abrams 0.2
Klobuchar 0.2
Harris 0.2
Gabbard 0.2
Holder 0.2

South Carolina
Biden 76.0
Sanders 27.4

[Volrath50]

Well, that initial post-debate drop for Sanders didn’t last long.  He’s now up to a slightly higher price than he was pre-debate.

Up: Sanders, Biden
Down: Bloomberg, Buttigieg

Dem. nomination
Sanders 52.6
Bloomberg 18.0
Biden 13.1
Buttigieg 5.1
Clinton 2.0
Warren 1.1
M. Obama 0.5
Brown 0.2
Abrams 0.2
Klobuchar 0.2
Harris 0.2
Gabbard 0.2
Holder 0.2

South Carolina
Biden 76.0
Sanders 27.4

Honestly, it wouldn't surprise me if Bloomberg's campaign was betting on Bloomberg and against Sanders last night to try to swing the betting market and make it look like Sanders had a bad debate, and Bloomberg had a good one (and thus influence coverage.)

It sounds crazy, but given that Bloomberg has been paying people to promote him on 4chan, and other weird uses of his unlimited money, I think it's at least a possibility.

[Mr. Morden]

Biden surges, overtaking Bloomberg for 2nd place.

Up: Biden
Down: Sanders, Buttigieg

Dem. nomination
Sanders 48.9
Biden 19.6
Bloomberg 17.4
Buttigieg 3.8
Clinton 2.0
Warren 0.8
Brown 0.6
M. Obama 0.5
Warner 0.2
Abrams 0.2
Castro 0.2
Kerry 0.2
Gabbard 0.2
Klobuchar 0.2

South Carolina
Biden 89.4
Sanders 14.5