2020 Gubernational elections: Who is running megathread (user search)
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  2020 Gubernational elections: Who is running megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Gubernational elections: Who is running megathread  (Read 151395 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

« on: June 08, 2020, 08:30:18 AM »

I couldn't find a thread for 2020 predictions, so I'll leave them here based on polls and what I think so far.

Republicans flip two seats: North Carolina and Montana. Montana goes Safe R and North Carolina Lean R.

In Montana, Republicans had higher turnout in the gubernatorial race on June 2. I think Cooper was unpopular by threatening capacity of the RNC Convention and may lose some bipartisan votes for that.

I also think Washington and Delaware will go to Democrats by 5-10%.



Delaware just doesn't have that moderate kick to make this happen, especially in a Presidential election year.  New Castle roundly cancels out gains from Kent and Sussex. 
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2020, 08:29:51 AM »

Can't see Washington being anything less than solid lean to safe D. 

Four and a half months from the election and Inslee doesn't even have a sure opponent. 
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