Some good news for Dems: Will 2018 be a bloodbath for Republican governors? (user search)
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  Some good news for Dems: Will 2018 be a bloodbath for Republican governors? (search mode)
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Question: --
#1
Yes
 
#2
Depends
 
#3
No
 
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Total Voters: 65

Author Topic: Some good news for Dems: Will 2018 be a bloodbath for Republican governors?  (Read 8655 times)
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


« on: November 12, 2016, 05:36:16 AM »
« edited: November 12, 2016, 05:40:30 AM by smoltchanov »

Depends. And - very much depends. If 2016 taught me something it's that candidate's quality still frequently beats "bad label" in gubernatorial elections. Two best examples (which i will frequently use next 2 years) are, of course, Justice and Scott. Who could imagine that in fiercely Republican (on federal level) West Virginia Democrat will not only win, but not even narrowly (by more then 6%)? Or that in Vermont, which gave more then 28% margins both to Clinton and Leahy, Scott will overperform Trump by more then 20% and win relatively easily by 8.7%??? You may add Bullock here, who also overperformed Clinton in Montana  heavily (14%). Even Cooper and Sununu have shown that candidate "tailored" for the state (moderate Democrat in Cooper's case, and relatively moderate Republican - in Sununu's), may squeeze enough extra votes needed for victory.

Generally "terrain" will favor Democrats. of course. But a lot will depends on candidates. Yes, Democrats may have chances even in Alabama, but - only with relatively conservative Democrat, because even Roy Moore will beat "flaming progressive" there. The same - in many other states...
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