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November 25, 2020, 02:44:21 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  NM - Clinton +2
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Author Topic: NM - Clinton +2  (Read 3517 times)
jaichind
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« on: November 07, 2016, 09:18:34 AM »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Zia_Poll_NM_November.pdf

Clinton   46  (+1)
Trump    44  (+4)
Johnson  6   (-3)
Stein      1

Johnson dropping quickly to the benefit of Trump
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Buzz
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:11 AM »

Hmmmmmm
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:40 AM »

LOL no
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:48 AM »

Very weird.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 09:21:55 AM »

Will New Mexico even be Johnson's best state at this point?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:01 AM »

I always thought NM had potential to go WV on the Democrats down the road, but not against someone like Trump.  If anything, this just confirms to me that polls are missing a ton of Hispanics.

LOL what?
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:32 AM »

Thank God this is already in the 538 db.
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Clamdick McClaw
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:51 AM »

Their last "poll" undersampled Latinos by 15 pts and only 11 of the 1000+ respondents chose to do the poll in Spanish.

lolno!
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 09:31:18 AM »

I always thought NM had potential to go WV on the Democrats down the road, but not against someone like Trump.  If anything, this just confirms to me that polls are missing a ton of Hispanics.

LOL what?

Something about Mexican Catholics and Oilfield workers yada yada yada..
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ReapSow
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 09:31:42 AM »

Zip is weird. Trump has increasingly gained one point each day in their daily polls.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 09:39:26 AM »

LOL, obviously junk. But Iím surprised that Johnsonís number is that weak in his native state of NM. Maybe thereís a small chance Hillary breaks 50% here as well.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 09:41:59 AM »

Did they poll more than 12 Hispanics this time?
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Absolution9
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 09:44:35 AM »

Their last "poll" undersampled Latinos by 15 pts and only 11 of the 1000+ respondents chose to do the poll in Spanish.

lolno!

You do realize that NM has very few recent Spanish speaking immigrants.  Only 9.9% of the pop is foreign born, that compares to 19.1% in NV.
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 10:27:59 AM »

Did they poll more than 12 Hispanics this time?
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King
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2016, 10:29:30 AM »

Some #investigativejournalism: They claim to be a nonpartisan outfit recently renamed from the highly respected Dialing Services (?). Obviously never heard of Dialing Services and the domain is registered to DOMAINSBYPROXY hidden. Their CEO is just a photo of a guy named "Chris" with no surname.

But through some innovative Facebook stalking of their PR contact, young Gary supporter Brandon Gregoire (SAD!), I was able to unearth the surname of Chris as Chris Kolker. Then, through a Google of Chris Kolker I was able to find out his real background from a 2008 CNET article:

https://www.cnet.com/news/election-day-brings-invasion-of-robocalls/

Quote
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GOPCALLS.COM is now ZIA POLL

Zia Poll (R)--JUNK POLL!
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Cashew
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2016, 10:54:09 AM »

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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2016, 12:23:46 PM »

Dang, maybe NM polling is worse than NV polling.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2016, 12:31:45 PM »

The polling out of NV and NM make no sense to me whatsoever. Both states I felt would be strong HRC states, but they'd been consistently closer than expected.
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Cosmopolitanism Will Win
Antonio V
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2016, 07:57:06 PM »

This pollster's full name is probably Zia-ul-Hack.

sorry
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Atlanta 1997 World Champs
bronz4141
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2016, 08:20:16 PM »

Some Hispanics in NM is voting for Trump.
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ReapSow
Rafe
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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2016, 08:25:12 PM »

Some #investigativejournalism: They claim to be a nonpartisan outfit recently renamed from the highly respected Dialing Services (?). Obviously never heard of Dialing Services and the domain is registered to DOMAINSBYPROXY hidden. Their CEO is just a photo of a guy named "Chris" with no surname.

But through some innovative Facebook stalking of their PR contact, young Gary supporter Brandon Gregoire (SAD!), I was able to unearth the surname of Chris as Chris Kolker. Then, through a Google of Chris Kolker I was able to find out his real background from a 2008 CNET article:

https://www.cnet.com/news/election-day-brings-invasion-of-robocalls/

Quote
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GOPCALLS.COM is now ZIA POLL

Zia Poll (R)--JUNK POLL!

Nice. Somebody give this man a Pulitzer!
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Green Line
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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2016, 08:29:02 PM »

If you add +7 to Trumps number, you get Lean Trump!
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