NH-UNH: Clinton +11, Clinton +10 (4-way)

[NOVA Green]

So before everyone starts popping champagne corks or drowning their sorrows in tears of cheap KY/TN Bourbon (Canadian Man myself), how credible is UNH as a polling org, and plus we have seen a ton of bizarre whiplashes from NH over the past four weeks alone...

Is there an outlier on the margins, or simply that NH Indies are fickle and like their moment in the sun (As they do every Feb every four years) just shouting out for attention?

WTF is going on with all this???

[NOVA Green]

Wait.... B-B-BUT MUH 4 JUNK POLLS! MUH ELASTICITY! MUH TRUMP GOOD FIT FOR NH! MUH 2000! MUH BUSH! MUH RIGHT KIND OF REPUBLICAN! MUH TREND R! MUH TREND R WHITES! MUH SWING STATE! MUH NH MALES! MUH NH MORE LIKELY TO VOTE R THAN FL! MUH MUH!

Called it. Angry White NH females will turn it out in record-breaking numbers for their beloved Hillary and deliver Trump, who is seen as a member of the anti-Women hate group (also known as the Republican Party), a good trashing. Trump never had a chance here, and no Republican was going to win NH. NH is 100000% gone for the GOP.

In light of recent developments, I think we should change this meme to "Nasty New Hampshire women"

Hmmm.... am wondering if TN Volunteer should post two short personal video uploads depending upon if the state turns out to be won by "Angry NH Women" or "Nasty NH Women"?

Either way, it would be fun to watch, similar to other statements that individuals have made on the forum regarding "eating their hats", "eating their shoes", etc....

All playful @ TN Volunteer and all other players....

If NH is C +10 vindication, if Trump wins NH, "angry white theory = bunk", if Clinton wins NH by +2-4 ?

[NOVA Green]

I think the key question isn't if Clinton will NH, but rather by how much?

Will it be D+2 PVI or D+5 PVI, or???

On surface, it appears to be a state that is swung hard D in the Obama era, and in many ways it does not appear to be natural Trump territory, and we saw a few bizarre recent polls that showed it closer than expected at the height of "ComneyGate" that could just be a combo of both bad polling and selective response bias, that we have seen for both parties at the height of negative news cycles.

NH does seem like a state that is potentially more volatile than many others to each change in the new cycles over the past month or two, so I could see it being either a total Clinton blowout, or a fairly tight race once results roll in Tuesday Night.