NH-UNH: Clinton +11, Clinton +10 (4-way) (user search)
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  NH-UNH: Clinton +11, Clinton +10 (4-way) (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Clinton +11, Clinton +10 (4-way)  (Read 13673 times)
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« on: November 06, 2016, 11:16:45 PM »

is that poll any good?
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 11:21:44 PM »

would love to see more polls of NH right now but too close i fear.....

+10 seems mad, but i would take +4 any day.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 01:13:46 AM »

i don't have the statistical knowledge to judge what silver is doing but since the margins for obama in some states have been reaaaaally low in 2012, i guess silver bets that trump could kind of "steal" some states with hilarious low margins, while lose other.....less important ones...in giant landslides.

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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 01:49:34 AM »

Both candidates are not contesting a state in the final 48 hours that has a double-digit lead for Clinton. It would be absolutely idiotic if their internals were showing that wide of a gap.

he has had internals but he seemed to have cut off most of his pollsters (some of his close aids even confirmed off the records that they did not poll MN recently) and like most desperate candidates, who would need some impropable (not impossible) breakthrough to win, he is just pushing each brick and try to find the loose one.

if there is one, he would find it, if not....bad luck.

imho camping 24/7 in MI/PA would have been the most realistic way...if they are up for grabs.
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