Let's predict how much Nate Silver adjusts this toward Trump "out of caution"
I'm sure it'll reduce HRC's chances to win by 2% and flip Maine.
Sigh. OK, fine, don't bother to even superficially understand how that stuff works guys, whatever. 
Aggressive trendline adjustments to a noisy dataset are like turning the amps up to 11 at a Skrillex concert.
On what basis are you convinced Silver's trendline adjustments are too aggressive? We have past empirical data that Silver claims he used to make these decisions. I'm always wary of dismissing models like that because they come out with counterintuitive results unless we can explain why some other approach is more sound.
Dude, Nate Silver is literally doing with polls what that Dean Chambers moron criticizing him was doing in 2012.
