NH-UNH: Clinton +11, Clinton +10 (4-way)
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  NH-UNH: Clinton +11, Clinton +10 (4-way)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Clinton +11, Clinton +10 (4-way)  (Read 13732 times)
Edu
Ufokart
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« Reply #25 on: November 06, 2016, 11:21:32 PM »
AYY LMAO
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #26 on: November 06, 2016, 11:21:44 PM »
would love to see more polls of NH right now but too close i fear.....

+10 seems mad, but i would take +4 any day.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #27 on: November 06, 2016, 11:21:56 PM »
No paths left for Trump.
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Cashew
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« Reply #28 on: November 06, 2016, 11:22:23 PM »
Clinton surge!
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #29 on: November 06, 2016, 11:23:12 PM »
Let's predict how much Nate Silver adjusts this toward Trump "out of caution"
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RJEvans
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« Reply #30 on: November 06, 2016, 11:23:35 PM »
I swear, these NH polls give me whiplash.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #31 on: November 06, 2016, 11:23:44 PM »
Roll the credits.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #32 on: November 06, 2016, 11:23:47 PM »
Quote from: BoAtlantis on November 06, 2016, 11:23:12 PM
Let's predict how much Nate Silver adjusts this toward Trump "out of caution"

I'm sure it'll reduce HRC's chances to win by 2% and flip Maine.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #33 on: November 06, 2016, 11:25:14 PM »
Makes sense. Finally a poll that says what polls have been saying for months until Comey sent them into horse race mode.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #34 on: November 06, 2016, 11:29:33 PM »
dem great hope, UNH! Great honer
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #35 on: November 06, 2016, 11:32:59 PM »
Just as I've been saying the entire time - The Gold Standard says this is approaching a double digit race nationally. I feel comfortable extrapolating that.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #36 on: November 06, 2016, 11:33:04 PM »
Someone check on TNVolunteer. Pretty sure he had a heart attack when he seen the thread lol.
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Alcon
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« Reply #37 on: November 06, 2016, 11:35:20 PM »
Quote from: Arch on November 06, 2016, 11:23:47 PM
Quote from: BoAtlantis on November 06, 2016, 11:23:12 PM
Let's predict how much Nate Silver adjusts this toward Trump "out of caution"

I'm sure it'll reduce HRC's chances to win by 2% and flip Maine.

Sigh.  OK, fine, don't bother to even superficially understand how that stuff works guys, whatever. Smiley
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #38 on: November 06, 2016, 11:38:25 PM »
dat elasticity tho
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #39 on: November 06, 2016, 11:39:10 PM »
TREMENDOUS!!!

A beautiful pink wave of feminine fury will wash over the Granite State in 48 hours.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #40 on: November 06, 2016, 11:42:06 PM »
Lead increased by 3 from the previous poll. Encouraging.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #41 on: November 06, 2016, 11:45:43 PM »
So before everyone starts popping champagne corks or drowning their sorrows in tears of cheap KY/TN Bourbon (Canadian Man myself), how credible is UNH as a polling org, and plus we have seen a ton of bizarre whiplashes from NH over the past four weeks alone...

Is there an outlier on the margins, or simply that NH Indies are fickle and like their moment in the sun (As they do every Feb every four years) just shouting out for attention?

WTF is going on with all this???
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Desroko
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« Reply #42 on: November 06, 2016, 11:46:59 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on November 06, 2016, 11:35:20 PM
Quote from: Arch on November 06, 2016, 11:23:47 PM
Quote from: BoAtlantis on November 06, 2016, 11:23:12 PM
Let's predict how much Nate Silver adjusts this toward Trump "out of caution"

I'm sure it'll reduce HRC's chances to win by 2% and flip Maine.

Sigh.  OK, fine, don't bother to even superficially understand how that stuff works guys, whatever. Smiley

Aggressive trendline adjustments to a noisy dataset are like turning the amps up to 11 at a Skrillex concert.
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Wade McDaniel
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« Reply #43 on: November 06, 2016, 11:47:27 PM »
What's the history of this poll and why is it so far off from Trump +5?  Are Democrats really suggesting there was a poll off by 16 points? If so what is your reasoning?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #44 on: November 06, 2016, 11:48:51 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on November 06, 2016, 11:35:20 PM
Quote from: Arch on November 06, 2016, 11:23:47 PM
Quote from: BoAtlantis on November 06, 2016, 11:23:12 PM
Let's predict how much Nate Silver adjusts this toward Trump "out of caution"

I'm sure it'll reduce HRC's chances to win by 2% and flip Maine.

Sigh.  OK, fine, don't bother to even superficially understand how that stuff works guys, whatever. Smiley

If it wasn't clear, I'm just being facetious.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #45 on: November 06, 2016, 11:51:30 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 06, 2016, 11:50:18 PM
Wait.... B-B-BUT MUH 4 JUNK POLLS! MUH ELASTICITY! MUH TRUMP GOOD FIT FOR NH! MUH 2000! MUH BUSH! MUH RIGHT KIND OF REPUBLICAN! MUH TREND R! MUH TREND R WHITES! MUH SWING STATE! MUH NH MALES! MUH NH MORE LIKELY TO VOTE R THAN FL! MUH MUH!

Called it. Angry White NH females will turn it out in record-breaking numbers for their beloved Hillary and deliver Trump, who is seen as a member of the anti-Women hate group (also known as the Republican Party), a good trashing. Trump never had a chance here, and no Republican was going to win NH. NH is 100000% gone for the GOP.

LOOOOOOL!! I laughed way harder at all of this than I should've. Stay classy TNV Smiley.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #46 on: November 06, 2016, 11:53:03 PM »
TN Volunteer will win the Nobel Prize in Political Science once this is all over, believe me. 
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #47 on: November 06, 2016, 11:53:16 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 06, 2016, 11:50:18 PM
Wait.... B-B-BUT MUH 4 JUNK POLLS! MUH ELASTICITY! MUH TRUMP GOOD FIT FOR NH! MUH 2000! MUH BUSH! MUH RIGHT KIND OF REPUBLICAN! MUH TREND R! MUH TREND R WHITES! MUH SWING STATE! MUH NH MALES! MUH NH MORE LIKELY TO VOTE R THAN FL! MUH MUH!

Called it. Angry White NH females will turn it out in record-breaking numbers for their beloved Hillary and deliver Trump, who is seen as a member of the anti-Women hate group (also known as the Republican Party), a good trashing. Trump never had a chance here, and no Republican was going to win NH. NH is 100000% gone for the GOP.
you ok there?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #48 on: November 06, 2016, 11:54:29 PM »
TNV just made my night.
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RI
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« Reply #49 on: November 06, 2016, 11:55:31 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 06, 2016, 11:53:03 PM
TN Volunteer will win the Nobel Prize in Political Science once this is all over, believe me. 

Maybe they'll even name it after him, after they create it.
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