OH-TargetSmart: Trump +3 (user search)

Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Re: OH-TargetSmart: Trump +3

« on: November 06, 2016, 10:43:41 PM »

Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 06, 2016, 10:42:56 PM

R+18.

Huh?

So I'm assuming the people who shat on the FL poll are going to embrace this one?

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon

Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Re: OH-TargetSmart: Trump +3

« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 10:47:40 PM »

Quote from: xīngkěruì on November 06, 2016, 10:46:31 PM

A Hillary win isn't out of the question, but Trump is probably the one to bet on here. 323-215 it is.

I think they're under-egging Clinton's early-vote numbers, honestly. But we're at the point where I just sit back and see where we end up.

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon

Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Re: OH-TargetSmart: Trump +3

« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 10:55:37 PM »

Quote from: Hammy on November 06, 2016, 10:53:18 PM

Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on November 06, 2016, 10:43:41 PM

Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 06, 2016, 10:42:56 PM

R+18.

Huh?

So I'm assuming the people who shat on the FL poll are going to embrace this one?

They're both partisan garbage polls--if Trump is up 3 here, he probably wins Ohio by 6. This poll erases any tiny remainder if doubt I have about Trump winning the state.

A D partisan poll that's significantly under-reporting Clinton's early vote?

The real-world data is telling a radically different story to this poll.

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