OH-TargetSmart: Trump +3

[Ozymandias]

They both look like trash to me. Hillary isn't going to win FL by 8 and she's not winning tons of Republicans. For this one, there's no way her lead in the early vote isn't bigger, and undecideds/Johnson are way too high.

The EV results are pretty consistent with the Columbus Dispatch poll:

OHIO

http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/11/06/dispatch-poll-finds-presidential-race-too-close-to-call.html#

Of the 36% (409/1136) of respondents who said they voted early, "Clinton is winning among those who said they already have voted, holding a 10 point advantage."

Per TargetSmart, Clinton up 7, 48-41 in early voting, Clinton up 23 with women (55-32)
https://twitter.com/_targetsmart/status/795471106471772161

[Ozymandias]

However, YouGov did find a much bigger Clinton EV advantage:

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/11/06/battleground-tracker-florida-and-ohio-head-photo-f/

OHIO

Of the 19% (226/1189) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 63
Trump - 33