CBS/YouGov: Rubio +3 in FL, Portman +13 in OH

[DavidB.]

Florida would definitely have (would?) benefited from a massive ad blitz by the DSCC.

At the expense of how many other seats?

[DavidB.]

Flawlesssssssssss... Beautiful.... MARCOOOOOOO!

[DavidB.]

If Rubio wins by less than 2% while Bayh gets creamed, the DSCC needs to be held over hot coals. Part of it might be inelasticity, since very lopsided results in Florida are rare, and this race was probably going to be within 5-6% anyway, but it's frustrating to think that the DSCC wasted so much money in Indiana, when Florida might have actually been winnable. It is good that they pulled out of Ohio, but they should have done so even sooner.

Always easier to say in hindsight.

[DavidB.]

FBM is still going to win easily. If the polls are undersampling Hispanics, this will definitely benefit Hillary, but not Murphy at all.

Not entirely true. Hispanics will still vote for Murphy by a substantial margin, though much smaller than Clinton's will be. If Hispanics are undersampled this means FBM's lead isn't as large as projected, which is what I expect. He will win by 2-3.

I constantly said that the Democrats shouldn't have been so quick to pull out of Florida.

Fair enough.