CBS/YouGov: Trump +1 (OH), Tie (FL) (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov: Trump +1 (OH), Tie (FL) (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Trump +1 (OH), Tie (FL)  (Read 9448 times)
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,244
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« on: November 06, 2016, 11:06:24 AM »

Maybe, or maybe not.

The topline trend in both states favours Trump:

Compared to when? It looks like Ohio was last polled a month ago and Florida at least a week or two or so ago.
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politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,244
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 02:12:46 PM »

OK, can someone help me please? After the Comey letter there have been 8 Florida polls.
Clinton led 6 of them, Trump 1 and one was tied.
 How could it be possible that Nate Silver's model gives Trump as the favorite?

Because Nate is a joke?

Yeah, it's a comfy job if you can get it. It's like being a meteorologist. You'll get it right 80-90% of the time, but sometimes you're wildly wrong. When you're wrong, you just chalk it up to chance and save your job. No one ever calls for the weatherman's head when he gets it wrong.
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