CBS/YouGov: Trump +1 (OH), Tie (FL)

[Ozymandias]

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-trump-even-in-ohio-and-florida-two-days-before-election-cbs-poll/

"In Florida, Trump benefits from slightly increased partisan support: the level of Republican support for Trump has risen from 82 percent to now 86 percent. Ninety-one percent of Florida Democrats were supporting Clinton and still are."

[Ozymandias]

SENATE

FL: Rubio - 47, Murphy - 44
OH: Portman - 52, Strickland - 39

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-trump-even-in-ohio-and-florida-two-days-before-election-cbs-poll/ (scroll down to 2nd and 3rd Scribd docs)

[Ozymandias]

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/11/06/battleground-tracker-florida-and-ohio-head-photo-f/

FLORIDA

Of the 63% (748/1188) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 51
Trump - 41

OHIO

Of the 19% (226/1189) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 63
Trump - 33

This continues a pattern of Clinton dominating the early vote in most polls.

[Ozymandias]

What's weird in a lot of these early vote polls is that they are implying huge third party numbers, way more than I expected.  Does it make sense to you that 8% of early voters in Florida are casting third party ballots?  I would have thought that almost all third party votes would be election day ones and that there would be way less than 8%.  This isn't the first poll that has shown this.

I don't think the missing 8% is all 3rd party vote-- what I've noticed while compiling all the early voting poll results is that very often a few percent won't say who they voted for (listed as "unsure", "none", etc.)

Now why these early voting non-respondents are still kept in the poll instead of being thrown out, I have no idea...