PA-Muhlenberg College/Morning Call: Toomey +1

[The Other Castro]

Toomey - 43%
McGinty - 42%

Poll conducted over October 30-Nov 4

http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pa-poll-trump-clinton-toomey-mcginty-20161105-story.html

[heatcharger]

Way too many undecideds. I can't find any crosstabs, but I'm sure if they pushed leaners it would be different.

[MT Treasurer]

Regardless of who wins this race, I think it will take a long time until we know who controls the Senate. Going to be an interesting election night.

With so many close Senate/gubernatorial races, I wonder if there will be a recount somewhere.

[PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?

[The Other Castro]

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?

OR, you know, maybe with a 3 point McGinty lead you'll get a poll every now and then showing her trailing.

[Xing]

They last had the race tied, so hardly a huge change from this pollster. McGinty should narrowly win.

[Ebsy]

McGinty is going to pull it out.

[Lief 🐋]

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?

Why the hell would solid blue Pennsylvania reject Schumer to keep McConnell? It's like you get dumber by the day dude.

[Antonio V]

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

[Heisenberg]

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?

Why the hell would solid blue Pennsylvania reject Schumer to keep McConnell? It's like you get dumber by the day dude.

It's not a Solid D state. I'd say only "Tilt D" for now.

[Oakvale]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

[Antonio V]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

[DavidB.]

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?

Troll.

[Ronnie]

What is the percentage of undecideds in this poll?  If I had to guess, I'd say most of them are Democrats or Dem-leaners, and will probably break towards Clinton in the end.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

[Antonio V]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

[Antonio V]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)

I think we win IN; Missouri's a pure tossup and Burr probably has only the slightest of edges.

[Antonio V]

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)

I think we win IN; Missouri's a pure tossup and Burr probably has only the slightest of edges.

That's not what the latest polls say. Sure, the polls might underestimate Democratic support, but I would rather not need to rely on that.

[DavidB.]

New gold standard for PA!