IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Iowa's gone to the dark side

Yes. But, if true, this means that OH and PA are going Iowa's way for sure and MI is following closely.

No. Philly suburbs are changing PA from a rust belt state to part of the solid northeast.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

To be sure if this is an indicator of a Trump swing in the mid west, we need a quality poll from Wisconsin.

We just had two quality polls from WI, you just don't like the results.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

To be sure if this is an indicator of a Trump swing in the mid west, we need a quality poll from Wisconsin.

We just did from Marquette and PPP showing Clinton up 6 and 7 respectively. Again, Iowa is more like the Great Plains than it is the Midwest.

Anyone have crosstabs yet?

PPP poll is for a left wing advocacy group, so it can't be trusted.
Marquette poll is a bit old.

I don't think Wisconsin can be won because of same day registration and Dem ground game.

Yes it can be trusted. PPP wouldn't be it's reputation on the line like that if they didn't trust the results. They are being payed for hundreds of private polls, they lose money if their reputation goes into the trash.