IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 02:03:46 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7  (Read 37304 times)
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


« on: November 05, 2016, 07:15:41 PM »
Can we finally stop pretending now that Clinton ever had a chance here?
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 07:27:12 PM »

Michigan Wisconsin and Minnesota are not in play.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 07:31:18 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 05, 2016, 07:28:38 PM
Quote from: Hammy on November 05, 2016, 07:27:12 PM

Michigan Wisconsin and Minnesota are not in play.

We don't know that. If this Iowa result is right, then theu are in play along with Pennsylvania, while Ohio is safe Trump.


Iowa is not an indicator of any of those four states--the demographics are completely different. Iowa has more in common with Kansas than it does PA/WI/MN/MN. I will agree that Ohio has been gone for some time, but again it's starting to have more in common with Indiana than Pennsylvania as populations change.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 07:43:21 PM »
Quote from: Little Big BREXIT on November 05, 2016, 07:40:09 PM
I'm just leaving it here...
Midwest is about 0.8-0.85 correlation. HUUUUUGE.
Northeast is NH 0.7, Maine 0.63, PA is just 0.56




Notice Minnesota is the biggest correlating state though...
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 08:33:39 PM »
Quote from: RalstonSucks on November 05, 2016, 08:09:31 PM
you know if he is up 7 in iowa, he can't be that far back in WI, MI

Zero correlation.

Quote from: Spicy Purrito( (((☭ )))-MA) on November 05, 2016, 08:16:54 PM
Oddly, this increased Hillary's chances of winning in 538.

I quit following 538's "analysis" a long time ago--there's so little sense to any of it.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 12 queries.