So McGinty is either running 7 points behind Clinton or even with her, depending on the poll.
Heads will roll in the polling industry this year.
5 points behind - use the four way numbers please.
...no?
Johnson and Stein will probably get half of their polling numbers by election day.
Historically, what Third Parties get in the polls in the last few days is about what they get on election day, give or take a point.
"give or take half of Stein's voting share"
Also, you're wrong. In 2008 Nader polled at 2.3% and Barr polled at 1.5%. They got 0.6% and 0.4%.