McClatchy/Marist National Poll: Clinton +1/+2

[Absolution9]

34% say they have already voted. Clinton winning 50-42 among people that have already voted, Trump winning 45-44 among those that haven't voted yet.

Is that supposed to make sense?

Just calculated it, it comes out to an overall Clinton +2 lead.

The thing I don't get is that this number implies that 8% of all early voters voted third party and that seems way off to me.  I would be shocked if it is more than 2-4% of the early vote.

[Absolution9]

Just a reminder that Obama's average lead in national polls was 0.7% right before election day.

That was based on RCP only, more inclusive aggregators had it higher.  538's model had him up 2.5% I believe.  Huffpo was above 2% also if memory serves (could be wrong).

[Absolution9]

Also they have the "other" at 9% which is pretty high. Last election Latinos and others voted pretty similarly.