NM - ZIA: Clinton +3

[Ozymandias]

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ZiaPoll.NM.11.02.2016.pdf

Clinton - 46
Trump - 43
Johnson - 7
Stein - 1
Other - 2
Undecided - 1

11/1-11/2, 1102 LV, 3% MOE

[Speed of Sound]

Help me! *glug glug* Oh god I'm drowning in terrible polls! *blub...blub..................*

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

Sad that all these trash polls have to show a horse race.

[Ronnie]

Is November 4th national trash polls day?

[Xing]

26.4% Latino? Uh huh, sure thing.

[Dr. Arch]

Help me! *glug glug* Oh god I'm drowning in terrible polls! *blub...blub..................*

LOOOL. Thanks for the laugh.

In all seriousness though, you know something is up when these (R) and junk polls are showing a bunch of states with a ton of different PVIs in the same range. This is all horrible polling, and we're not getting nearly good enough polls from reputable organizations to counteract the effect.

[Lief 🗽]

26.4% Latino? Uh huh, sure thing.

hahahahahaha wow

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Look at this question.

To take this poll in English, press 1.  Spanish, press 2.

English 1091
Spanish 11

Wow.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Help me! *glug glug* Oh god I'm drowning in terrible polls! *blub...blub..................*

Ditto.

[Lief 🗽]

Note that Hispanics were 37% of the state in 2012. So this is just complete trash.

[Reds4]

Of all the junk that has come out today.. this is probably the worst

[Ozymandias]

Of the 20.9% (230/1102) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 56
Trump - 33
Johnson - 6
Stein - 1
Other - 3

NOTE: This is a VERY low early voting percentage, given that 359,980 NM voters have already voted, which is 45.9% of TOTAL (early + election day) electorate (Source: http://www.electproject.org/early_2016).

[Eraserhead]

Junk but look at Big Gary's number. Ouch!

[Ebsy]

There is nothing good about this poll's methodology or crosstabs.

[psychprofessor]

this is just like the Colorado poll which showed a tie but explicitly stated they undersampled Latino's. I mean, the story of early voting so far is that Latino's are overperforming in the composition of the electorate and the percentage of support for Clinton. Ay dios mio.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Wow, this really feels like a Junk Polls Blitzkrieg.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

There is nothing good about this poll's methodology or crosstabs.

[cinyc]

I actually have a Google Survey New Mexico poll in the field right now. It's too early to tell whether I will get similar results to Zia. It's close right now, though,  with 95/500 respondents in.

[Maxwell]

are they really expecting hispanics to shed a third of 2008 numbers? (41% of the electorate was hispanic in 2008)

the worst poll ever

[Erich Maria Remarque]

are they really expecting hispanics to shed a third of 2008 numbers? (41% of the electorate was hispanic in 2008)

the worst poll ever

In 2012 it was 37 though

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/NM/president/

[PollsDontLie]

I actually have a Google Survey New Mexico poll in the field right now. It's too early to tell whether I will get similar results to Zia. It's close right now, though,  with 95/500 respondents in.

Dude you've spent a ton on polling.  Wow.  We obviously appreciate it here.

[ApatheticAustrian]

HOOORAY for NM polls and for anyone helping to make one!

[JJC]

Doesn't NM have one of the highest latino population -  most of which from Mexico?

Trump winning here would just be icing on the cake.

[Maxwell]

are they really expecting hispanics to shed a third of 2008 numbers? (41% of the electorate was hispanic in 2008)

the worst poll ever

In 2012 it was 37 though

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/NM/president/

that's still an insane 11 point drop.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

are they really expecting hispanics to shed a third of 2008 numbers? (41% of the electorate was hispanic in 2008)

the worst poll ever

In 2012 it was 37 though

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/NM/president/

that's still an insane 11 point drop.

Yeah, I know. I think it is a raw numbers. Clearly that whites/older etc a heavily oversampled. That is normal, but it seems like they didn't reweight, LOL