NH: Gravis/Breitbart - Trump + 2
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  NH: Gravis/Breitbart - Trump + 2 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: NH: Gravis/Breitbart - Trump + 2  (Read 1682 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #25 on: November 04, 2016, 01:54:06 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on November 04, 2016, 01:35:07 PM
Gravis for Breitbart -- junk in the sense of heroin for a junkie, the political equivalent of which is someone who wants to believe that Donald Trump will be the next President.

Wow, it sort of physically hurts you, doesn't it?

It is a mediocre pollster, "B-" with big error, but pretty good on average, R +1-2 house effect.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #26 on: November 04, 2016, 02:09:17 PM »
NH= Pure Tossup, mayyyybe tilt R at this point it seems =(
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #27 on: November 04, 2016, 02:26:14 PM »
538 rates Gravis with a grade of B-
They have adjusted this down from a trump+2 to a +1.
And Clinton still has an approx 61% chance of winning NH.
NH seems to be a state we will need to wait until Nov 8th to see what actually happens. Very unpredictable.
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JJC
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« Reply #28 on: November 04, 2016, 02:36:41 PM »
I mean, when you have like six different polls in a row showing a tie or Trump leading...

BTW, RCP has NH going Trump with no tossups now.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #29 on: November 04, 2016, 02:37:23 PM »
as i said.

either smallest of all trump wins.

or embarassment of this year for everyone.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #30 on: November 04, 2016, 02:50:36 PM »
Quote from: JJC on November 04, 2016, 02:36:41 PM
I mean, when you have like six different polls in a row showing a tie or Trump leading...

BTW, RCP has NH going Trump with no tossups now.

But you don't.
PPP came out with their NH poll today, and it is a Clinton +5.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #31 on: November 04, 2016, 02:51:19 PM »
Also, SurveyMonkey has Clinton ahead by a lot in New Hampshire.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #32 on: November 04, 2016, 03:03:27 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2016, 03:05:58 PM by Happy Sad Trumpista »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 04, 2016, 02:50:36 PM
Quote from: JJC on November 04, 2016, 02:36:41 PM
I mean, when you have like six different polls in a row showing a tie or Trump leading...

BTW, RCP has NH going Trump with no tossups now.

But you don't.
PPP came out with their NH poll today, and it is a Clinton +5.


PPP is a "B+" pollster. SurveyMonkey is a "C-"

The pollsters that showed a close race was
Gravis "B-",
Suffolk "B+",
ARG "C+",
MassIncPollingGroup "A-"
University of Massachusetts Lowell "B".

#JustSaying
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #33 on: November 04, 2016, 03:04:41 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on November 04, 2016, 02:51:19 PM
Also, SurveyMonkey has Clinton ahead by a lot in New Hampshire.

They had a 20 point overnight swing and then 30 back in the other direction. That might be the worse series of polls I have ever seen in my entire life.
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alomas
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« Reply #34 on: November 04, 2016, 03:05:27 PM »
It is a Republican-leaning poll but a lot of polls are showing them tied so it is a clear toss-up.

Only 4 votes unfortunately...
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #35 on: November 04, 2016, 03:40:05 PM »
Thanks, Breitarsch!
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