MI - EPIC-MRA: Clinton+4

[Dr. Arch]

If WI is likely-safe D, MI is safe D, end of discussion.

[Dr. Arch]

http://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/04/free-press-poll-donald-trump-gains-hillary-clinton-race-michigan-tightens/93287658/

Clinton - 42
Trump - 38
Johnson - 5
Undecided - 13 (!)

11/1-11/3, 600 LV, 4% MOE

mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.

[Dr. Arch]

http://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/04/free-press-poll-donald-trump-gains-hillary-clinton-race-michigan-tightens/93287658/

Clinton - 42
Trump - 38
Johnson - 5
Undecided - 13 (!)

11/1-11/3, 600 LV, 4% MOE

mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.

What you think she's going to MI to smell the roses?

She's rallying the AA vote. Besides, there are few roses left at this time of year. If you still have trouble understanding MI polls, I present to you exhibit A:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html

"Final Results   --   --   --   54.2   44.7   Obama +9.5
RCP Average   10/26 - 11/4   --   --   49.5   45.5   Obama +4.0"

And Romney actually led in one of the samples for this average.

[Dr. Arch]

If WI is likely-safe D, MI is safe D, end of discussion.

I worry about both

Your worries are misplaced. Trump has officially never led in a WI poll, EVER.

[Dr. Arch]

People were excited for Obama. The media and the public, inexplicably, really are equivocating Trump and Clinton. Turnout will not be the same. The election is not over folks. MI is ground zero. WI is not in the bag.

I suggest you look at the early vote turnout and breakdown numbers before saying such a thing. You are speaking purely out of feelings, which I understand, but it doesn't necessarily follow reality.